CBRL

Why Cracker Barrel Rolled Higher Today

Key Points

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (NASDAQ: CBRL) stock cooked up a 27.6% gain through 11:05 a.m. ET Wednesday, after reporting better than expected earnings last night.

Heading into the company's fiscal Q3 2026 report, analysts predicted Cracker Barrel would lose $0.42 per share (pro forma) on sales of $777.5 million. But Cracker Barrel reported a surprise profit instead -- $0.29 per share -- and sales came in at $797.4 million.

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Cracker Barrel Q3 earnings

Not all the news was good... but some was downright great! On the minus side, Cracker Barrel sales slipped 2.9% year over year, and same-store sales were off 2.6% on the restaurant side, and 1.8% on merchandise. On the plus side, though, Cracker Barrel's earnings calculated under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) were $1.90 per share -- far more than the pro forma number noted above, and up 239% year over year.

Granted, most of the GAAP profit came from Cracker Barrel recognizing a one-time payment of $47.4 million from settling interchange fee litigation. Still, you can see why investors were pleased.

What's next for Cracker Barrel stock

Guidance news was similarly good. Full-year sales could reach $3.3 billion (down a disappointing 5.3% from last year's tally but better than the previous best-case forecast of $3.27 billion).

Cracker Barrel didn't give a firm GAAP earnings forecast. Management noted, however, that both commodity and wage inflation for its staff are expected to be "in the low 2% range," below previous estimates. This should be good news for profits and could allow Cracker Barrel to report smaller losses (or even a profit?) than the $1.36 per share analysts expect it to lose this year.

Fingers crossed.

Should you buy stock in Cracker Barrel Old Country Store right now?

Before you buy stock in Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, consider this:

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Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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