The Dow Suffered Its Third-Worst Point Drop Ever. Don't Panic.

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https://www.barrons.com/articles/dow-jones-industrial-avearge-had-its-third-worst-point-drop-ever-dont-panic-51582584326 Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images The Dow Suffered Its Third-Worst Point Drop Ever. Don’t Panic. The Dow Suffered Its Third-Worst Point Drop Ever. Don’t Panic. Dow Jones Industrial Avearge Had Its Third-Worst Point Drop Ever. Don’t Panic.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by more than 1,000 points for just the third time in its long history. The percentage drop, while painful, is less distressing.

The Dow Suffered Its Third-Worst Point Drop Ever. Don’t Panic.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by more than 1,000 points for just the third time in its long history. The percentage drop, while painful, is less distressing.

https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-to-spot-a-real-market-panic-51565374594 https://www.barrons.com/articles/coronavirus-is-cratering-the-stock-market-why-it-can-still-get-worse-51582568936 https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-dow-is-down-700-points-as-the-coronavirus-spreads-in-europe-51582548023 https://asset.barrons.com/dynamic-insets/charts/cdc_e8871efb4a1a644e8ac54bc0.json https://www.barrons.com/articles/black-monday-explaining-the-crash-30-years-later-1508359834 https://asset.barrons.com/dynamic-insets/charts/cdc_64c1a75b22c7150aca58a5e0.json https://www.barrons.com/articles/dow-jones-industrial-average-set-to-drop-800-points-what-history-says-happens-next-51582553267 https://www.barrons.com/articles/gilead-stock-surges-after-world-health-organization-official-calls-for-focus-on-coronavirus-drug-51582568712 mailto:allen.root@dowjones.com The Dow Suffered Its Third-Worst Point Drop Ever. Don’t Panic. By Al Root Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by more than 1,000 points on Monday.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by more than 1,000 points for just the third time in its long history. Investors shouldn’t care about the points though. The percentage drop, while painful, shows this is far from a market panic.

Monday, of course, was a bad day for U.S. investors. There is no ducking that fact. The spread of the coronavirus outside of China spooked all investors.

Europe’s FTSE 100 Index dropped 3.3%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 1.8%. The Dow dropped 3.6%. The S&P 500 fell 3.4%. And the Nasdaq Composite dropped 3.7%.

The Dow’s 1,032 point decline was the third-largest point drop ever. That sounds ominous, but it isn’t all that bad, historically speaking.

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The prior two 1,000-plus point declines occurred in the same month: February 2018. If fact, half of all the top-10 point declines occurred in 2018. That was a bad year for the Dow, but it wasn’t a disaster. The index’s 30 component stocks lost investors about 4% that year. The large daily declines experienced early in 2018, however, didn’t end up derailing the long-running U.S. bull market.

The Dow dropped by a little more than 4% in February 2018. That large monthly decline still left the Dow up year-to-date entering March.

That’s the good news. There is bad news too. Monday’s 3.6% decline is in the worst 1% in the 30,000-or-so-days history of the Dow. It’s a bad day and caused a lot of pain for a lot of investors.

Still, Monday doesn’t come anywhere close to the top-10 largest percentage declines. A drop of more than 8% is required to make that list.

Eight of the top-10 largest percentage declines occurred before the end of 1932. The only modern trading sessions to crack the top 10 were around Black Monday—Oct. 19, 1987. The Dow fell an incredible 22.6% on Black Monday. The index also declined 8% a week later, on Oct. 26.

https://asset.barrons.com/dynamic-insets/charts/cdc_64c1a75b22c7150aca58a5e0.json

Point drops make headlines, but percentage drops are what investors focus on. Looking ahead, the ability to contain and control the spread of the virus will determine the near-term direction of the Dow.

First- and second-quarter economic activity will likely be impacted by the virus. China, the world’s second-largest economy, isn’t close to running at 100%. That will hurt corporate earnings world-wide. But economic activity should bounce back, as long as the virus spread can be controlled.

Containment isn’t a forecast. It’s a hope. And that’s what all investors, and health-care professionals, would like to see.

Write to Al Root at allen.root@dowjones.com

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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