Fintel reports that on October 17, 2025, HSBC maintained coverage of Alcoa (NYSE:AA) with a Buy recommendation.
Analyst Price Forecast Suggests 4.51% Downside
As of September 30, 2025, the average one-year price target for Alcoa is $35.46/share. The forecasts range from a low of $27.27 to a high of $44.10. The average price target represents a decrease of 4.51% from its latest reported closing price of $37.13 / share.
See our leaderboard of companies with the largest price target upside.
The projected annual revenue for Alcoa is 13,291MM, an increase of 4.02%. The projected annual non-GAAP EPS is 6.87.
What is the Fund Sentiment?
There are 901 funds or institutions reporting positions in Alcoa. This is an decrease of 23 owner(s) or 2.49% in the last quarter. Average portfolio weight of all funds dedicated to AA is 0.20%, an increase of 16.40%. Total shares owned by institutions increased in the last three months by 5.61% to 216,767K shares. 
The put/call ratio of AA is 0.81, indicating a bullish outlook.
What are Other Shareholders Doing?
Eagle Capital Management holds 16,447K shares representing 6.35% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 16,583K shares , representing a decrease of 0.83%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in AA by 13.30% over the last quarter.
IJH - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF holds 8,433K shares representing 3.26% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 8,424K shares , representing an increase of 0.11%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in AA by 8.69% over the last quarter.
VTSMX - Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Investor Shares holds 8,341K shares representing 3.22% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 8,169K shares , representing an increase of 2.06%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in AA by 11.86% over the last quarter.
NAESX - Vanguard Small-Cap Index Fund Investor Shares holds 6,335K shares representing 2.45% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 6,460K shares , representing a decrease of 1.98%. The firm decreased its portfolio allocation in AA by 11.17% over the last quarter.
L1 Capital Pty holds 4,814K shares representing 1.86% ownership of the company. In its prior filing, the firm reported owning 1,727K shares , representing an increase of 64.13%. The firm increased its portfolio allocation in AA by 75.01% over the last quarter.
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