How The Pieces Add Up: FNX Targets $108

Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the First Trust Mid Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund ETF (Symbol: FNX), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $108.45 per unit.

With FNX trading at a recent price near $93.51 per unit, that means that analysts see 15.98% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of FNX's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Alight Inc (Symbol: ALIT), PURE Storage Inc (Symbol: PSTG), and Tempur Sealy International, Inc. (Symbol: TPX). Although ALIT has traded at a recent price of $7.61/share, the average analyst target is 61.43% higher at $12.29/share. Similarly, PSTG has 19.89% upside from the recent share price of $36.11 if the average analyst target price of $43.29/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting TPX to reach a target price of $46.44/share, which is 18.21% above the recent price of $39.29. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of ALIT, PSTG, and TPX:

ALIT, PSTG, and TPX Relative Performance Chart

Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
First Trust Mid Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund ETF FNX $93.51 $108.45 15.98%
Alight Inc ALIT $7.61 $12.29 61.43%
PURE Storage Inc PSTG $36.11 $43.29 19.89%
Tempur Sealy International, Inc. TPX $39.29 $46.44 18.21%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

10 ETFs With Most Upside To Analyst Targets »

Also see:
• Information Technology Services Dividend Stocks
• Top Ten Hedge Funds Holding UTEK
• TYNS market cap history

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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