Impact Forecasting Case Study

Breadth of Model Coverage

With over 125+ probabilistic and scenario models spanning 12 perils and over 80 countries, Impact Forecasting empower insurers by providing risk insights for the peak risk zones around the globe, as well as for the emerging markets. This allows insurers to place effective (re)insurance programs and manage capital based on more accurate model results. Impact Forecasting partners with academic and industry organizations around the world to incorporate the latest research into all of their catastrophe models.

As re/insurers become more demanding on where they access cat risk models, Impact Forecasting wanted to give firms more choice. They also wanted to allow firms to trial their models in a simplified way and offer clients full insight into how their models run. Nasdaq Risk Modelling for Catastrophes provided Impact Forecasting with the opportunity to achieve these goals.

Business Challenge

Insurers face a number of issues when looking to adopt catastrophe models, including regulatory, technical and cultural challenges. These are slowly being overcome as firms realize that there are viable alternative model vendors in the market providing them with a wider choice.

Impact Forecasting deploy their models though a range of channels, including their own platform, ELEMENTS. As clients become more demanding on where they access cat risk models, Impact Forecasting recognized that firms wanted more choice and were keen to support that. They also wanted to offer maximum flexibility to allow firms to trial their models in a simplified way, and offer clients full insight into how their models run. Additionally, Impact Forecasting were keen to improve the efficiency of model deployments.

Solution

Impact Forecasting saw the flexibility and accessibility of Nasdaq’s Risk Modelling service as an opportunity to provide clients with choice and maximize their outreach. The ability to offer clients model evaluations through the service was also an attractive proposition since there was relatively little effort needed from either Impact Forecasting or their clients. This has historically proven complicated due to the time and resource required to set up model evaluations.

One of Impact Forecasting’s key mottos is transparency, which is central to breaking down the barriers that may inhibit firms from looking at alternative models. By leveraging the open-source Oasis framework for model development and allowing easier access to their models through Nasdaq Risk Modelling for Catastrophes, customers can look inside Impact Forecasting’s models to better understand their outputs and therefore their risk.

Impact Forecasting models

Impact Forecasting currently have a number of models available on Nasdaq's Risk Modelling for Catastrophes. In the near future, they are rolling out more models into Oasis and Nasdaq NRMC, including US peril models based on customer demand. Longer-term, Impact Forecasting may consider other models ensuring they help customers be where they want to be in a multi-modelling landscape

Please visit our model brochure: https://www.aon.com/reinsurance/impact-forecasting/default.jsp