Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights DT Midstream, Equitrans Midstream and Atlas Energy Solutions

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – February 20, 2024 – Today, Zacks Equity Research discusses DT Midstream Inc DTM, Equitrans Midstream Corp. ETRN and Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. AESI.

Industry: Integrated Oil & Energy - U.S.

Link: https://www.zacks.com/commentary/2227319/3-integrated-us-energy-stocks-set-to-escape-industry-weakness

The upstream business of the integrated energy players is highly exposed to volatility in oil and gas prices. Also, the spike in input price in refining activities is making the outlook for the Zacks Oil & Gas US Integrated industry gloomy.

Among the companies in the industry that are likely to survive the business challenges are DT Midstream Inc, Equitrans Midstream Corp. and Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

About the Industry

The Zacks Oil & Gas US Integrated industry comprises companies primarily involved in upstream and midstream energy businesses. The upstream operations entail oil and natural gas exploration and production in the prolific shale plays of the United States. The integrated energy companies are also engaged in midstream businesses through gathering and processing facilities along with transportation pipeline networks and storage sites.

Overall, the upstream business is positively correlated to oil and gas prices. The produced commodity volumes are transported through midstream assets, generating stable fee-based revenues. The integrated energy players in the United States also have access to downstream operations wherein the transported oil volumes are converted to finished products, comprising gasoline, natural gas liquids and diesel, through refining activities.

5 Trends Shaping the Future of the Oil & Gas US Integrated Industry

Inflation Remains Elevated: Persistently high inflation levels and the slim likelihood of reverting to pre-pandemic conditions in the short term are contributing to increased market volatility. The elevated fuel prices resulting from this situation could negatively impact energy demand, presenting broader challenges for integrated energy companies.

Input Costs High in Refining Business: Oil is trading at more than the $75 per barrel mark, significantly raising input prices of refining operations. This is squeezing the profit of the refining business of the integrated firms in the United States.

Future is in Renewables: Governments, investors and stakeholders are placing growing emphasis on addressing climate change, leading to an increased demand for renewable energy. Consequently, the demand for products reliant on oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids is expected to decline, with solar and wind energy gaining prominence in the energy landscape. The integrated energy players are adversely impacted by these trends as the companies’ operations are primarily engaged in the production of fossil fuels, such as oil, transporting the commodities and selling end products like gasoline.

Upstream Unit Extremely Volatile: The upstream business of the integrated energy players is extremely volatile since the fate of the companies’ exploration and production activities is correlated to fluctuations in oil and gas prices.

Low Dividend Yield: Over the past two years, the composite stocks belonging to the industry have mostly generated lower dividend yields than the composite stocks belonging to the energy sector.

Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Bearish Outlook

The Zacks Oil & Gas US Integrated industry is a 12-stock group within the broader Zacks Oil - Energy sector. The industry currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #237, which places it in the bottom 5% of more than 250 Zacks industries.

The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, which is basically the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates dull near-term prospects. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

Before we present a few stocks that you may want to consider, let’s take a look at the industry’s recent stock market performance and valuation picture.

Industry Lags S&P 500, Beats Sector

The Zacks Oil & Gas US Integrated industry has outperformed the broader Zacks Oil - Energy sector, but lagged the Zacks S&P 500 composite over the past year.

The industry has jumped 3% over this period compared with the broader sector’s growth of 2.4% and the S&P 500’s surge of 24.9%.

Industry's Current Valuation

Since oil and gas companies are debt-laden, it makes sense to value them based on the EV/EBITDA (Enterprise Value/ Earnings before Interest Tax Depreciation and Amortization) ratio. This is because the valuation metric takes into account not just equity but also the level of debt.

On the basis of the trailing 12-month enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, the industry is currently trading at 4.54X, lower than the S&P 500’s 13.64X. It is, however, higher than the sector’s trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 3.63X.

Over the past five years, the industry has traded as high as 13.38X and as low as 3.29X, with a median of 4.80X.

3 US Integrated Oil Stocks Trying to Survive the Industry Challenges

Equitrans Midstream: With its strong focus on gas transmission, storage and gas gathering systems in the prolific Marcellus and Utica regions, Equitrans Midstream generates stable cashflows. Thus, with its midstream assets, the company is supporting the production and development of natural gas across the resources.

Equitrans Midstream sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Atlas Energy: It is a leader in the proppant and innovative logistics services space, providing services to oil and gas players operating in the prolific Permian Basin. Atlas Energy, carrying a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), is likely to see earnings growth of 58.3% this year.

DT Midstream: Being a leading operator of natural gas interstate and intrastate pipelines, DT Midstream generates stable fee-based revenues. The Zacks #3 Ranked midstream player is well-positioned to capitalize on rising clean energy demand since it transports natural gas.

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Equitrans Midstream Corporation (ETRN) : Free Stock Analysis Report

DT Midstream, Inc. (DTM) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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