Why Shares of United Airlines Are Up Today

What happened

United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ: UAL) late last week delivered quarterly earnings loaded with near-term pain, with a sprinkle of long-term optimism thrown in. Investors initially focused on the near-term issues, sending shares down on Friday, but on Monday, United shares climbed 5% as the markets digested the airline's outlook.

So what

United lost more than $8 per share in the third quarter, bleeding through about $25 million per day as the coronavirus pandemic continues to take a toll on the industry. Airlines still have "12 to 15 months of pain, sacrifice, and difficulty ahead," CEO Scott Kirby said on a post-earnings call with investors.

The company and other airlines are laying off tens of thousands of workers, and United is worried that business travel will not recover to pre-pandemic levels until 2024.

A United plane takes off.

Image source: United Airlines.

But for all that doom and gloom, United also used the third-quarter call to signal that it believes the worst is behind it. Kirby said "the light at the end of the tunnel is now visible," and United has begun the process of adding back flights designed to capture demand as it returns.

Kirby also said he believes United will return to cash positive before either Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL) or American Airlines Group (NASDAQ: AAL), implying the risk of a United bankruptcy is low.

Now what

I think Friday's sell-off was overdone. We knew the third quarter was going to be terrible for the industry, and it was. But United, in talking up its prospects of a recovery, has me more optimistic about the airline (and the stock) than I have been for years.

That said, investors should not ignore the part about another year or more of pain and sacrifice ahead. United's network arguably isn't set up well to take advantage if leisure travel returns before business and international, as assumed.

Even if Kirby is correct and United gets back to cash flow positive before its rivals, I still think Delta and Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV) are better investment choices for now. But United, it seems, is going to make it through the crisis, and that's reason enough for investors to celebrate on Monday.

10 stocks we like better than United Airlines Holdings
When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor, has tripled the market.*

David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the ten best stocks for investors to buy right now... and United Airlines Holdings wasn't one of them! That's right -- they think these 10 stocks are even better buys.

See the 10 stocks

*Stock Advisor returns as of September 24, 2020

Lou Whiteman owns shares of Delta Air Lines. The Motley Fool recommends Delta Air Lines and Southwest Airlines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

In This Story


Latest Markets Videos

    The Motley Fool

    Founded in 1993 in Alexandria, VA., by brothers David and Tom Gardner, The Motley Fool is a multimedia financial-services company dedicated to building the world's greatest investment community. Reaching millions of people each month through its website, books, newspaper column, radio show, television appearances, and subscription newsletter services, The Motley Fool champions shareholder values and advocates tirelessly for the individual investor. The company's name was taken from Shakespeare, whose wise fools both instructed and amused, and could speak the truth to the king -- without getting their heads lopped off.

    Learn More