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Why Qualcomm, Inc. Stock Spiked 30% in 2016

Picture of a smartwatch screen coming off of the watch to reveal a Qualcomm processor behind it
Picture of a smartwatch screen coming off of the watch to reveal a Qualcomm processor behind it

Image source: Qualcomm.

What happened

Qualcomm, Inc. 's(NASDAQ: QCOM) stock price jumped 30.09% in 2016, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence , thanks to positive news for the company's patent licensing division, a midyear earnings beat, and Qualcomm's bid to buy NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ: NXPI) .

Chart of Qualcomm's stock price change during 2016

Image source: YCharts.

So what

Qualcomm's stock began ticking up in early 2016 after the company announced it was seeing improvements to its Qualcomm technology licensing (QTL) division. That was very welcome news to investors, as the company's most profitable division had been hit hard by smartphone makers, mainly in China, who refused to pay the 3G and 4G licensing fees that Qualcomm has come to rely on.

The company said in February that it expected $8 billion from its QTL division in 2016, with that number hitting $10 billion by 2020.

Then, in July, Qualcomm's stock price got another shot in the arm when the company easily beat analyst estimates and improved QTL revenue in the fiscal third quarter. Total revenue grew by 3.6% year over year to $6.04 billion -- beating the average analyst estimate by about $400 million -- and QTL revenue jumped 6% on a yearly basis.

The company also forecast optimistic earnings for the fiscal fourth quarter, further solidifying the idea that Qualcomm was leaving its most difficult days behind.

The last major jump came toward the end of September on rumors (that later proved true) that Qualcomm was in talks to buy chipmaker NXP Semiconductors. The purchase of NXP could help Qualcomm transition beyond the slowing smartphone market and focus more of its attention on the growing Internet of Things and self-driving car markets.

Now what

Unfortunately, the investor optimism from 2016 hasn't exactly spilled into this year. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) officially charged Qualcomm for antitrust patent licensing practices last month. That came around the same time that Apple launched two patent licensing lawsuits against the company as well.. The effect from the iPhone maker's and FTC's litigation has sent Qualcomm's stock tumbling more than 16% since the beginning of the year.

With the company just beginning the process of tackling these lawsuits -- and having just gotten out of similar patent licensing problems in 2016 -- it would appear that Qualcomm investors may be gearing up for a rocky 2017.

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Chris Neiger has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends AAPL and Qualcomm. The Motley Fool has the following options: long January 2018 $90 calls on AAPL and short January 2018 $95 calls on AAPL. The Motley Fool recommends NXP Semiconductors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy .

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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