Markets

Why Gulfport Energy (GPOR) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

A generic image of a pen and a calculator
Credit: Shutterstock photo

Looking for a stock that has been consistently beating earnings estimates and might be well positioned to keep the streak alive in its nex t quarterly report ? Gulfport Energy (GPOR), which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Exploration and Production - United States industry, could be a great candidate to consider.

When looking at the last two reports, this independent oil and gas company has recorded a strong streak of surpassing earnings estimates. The company has topped estimates by 28.93%, on average, in the last two quarters.

For the most recent quarter, Gulfport Energy was expected to pos t earnings of $0.35 per share, but i t report ed $0.49 per share instead, representing a surprise of 40%. For the previous quarter, the consensus estimate was $0.28 per share, while it actually produced $0.33 per share, a surprise of 17.86%.

Price and EPS Surprise

Thanks in part to this history, there has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Gulfport Energy lately. In fact, the Zacks (Expected Surprise Prediction) for the stock is positive, which is a great indicator of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with its solid Zacks Rank.

Thanks in part to this history, there has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Gulfport Energy lately. In fact, the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) for the stock is positive, which is a great indicator of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with its solid Zacks Rank.

Our research shows that stocks with the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time . In other words, if you have 10 stocks with this combination, the number of stocks that beat the consensus estimate could be as high as seven.

The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a version of the Zacks Consensus whose definition is related to change. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.

Gulfport Energy has an Earnings ESP of +1.73% at the moment, suggesting that analysts have grown bullish on its near-term earnings potential. When you combine this positive Earnings ESP with the stock's Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), it shows that another beat is possibly around the corner. The company's nex t earnings report is expected to be released on February 20, 2019.

Investors should note, however, that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss, but a negative value does reduce the predictive power of this metric.

Many companies end up beating the consensus EPS estimate, though this is not the only reason why their shares gain. Additionally, some stocks may remain stable even if they end up missing the consensus estimate.

Because of this, it's really important to check a company's Earnings ESP ahead of its quarterly release to increase the odds of success. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR): Get Free Report

To read this article on Zacks.com click here.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

In This Story

GPOR

Other Topics

Earnings Investing Stocks

Latest Markets Videos

Zacks

Zacks is the leading investment research firm focusing on stock research, analysis and recommendations. In 1978, our founder discovered the power of earnings estimate revisions to enable profitable investment decisions. Today, that discovery is still the heart of the Zacks Rank. A wealth of resources for individual investors is available at www.zacks.com.

Learn More