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Why Etsy, Inc. Stock Gained 34.9% in February

ETSY Chart

What happened

Etsy, Inc. (NASDAQ: ETSY) stock climbed 37.2% last month, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence . Shares gained ground leading up to the company's fourth-quarter earnings release on Feb. 27 and then spiked after the results came in well above Wall Street's expectations.

ETSY data by YCharts .

So what

The average analyst estimate called for earnings per share of $0.08 on sales of $133 million, but earnings for the period came in at $0.15 per share on $136.3 million in sales. Revenue for the quarter ending in December was up 27.6% over the prior-year period, and net income came in at $44.8 million -- up from a $21.4 million loss in the fourth quarter of 2016.

A person making an in-store payment through Etsy with a credit-card reader and mobile phone.

Image source: Etsy.

Gross merchandise volume conducted on the site rose 17.8% year over year to reach $1.01 billion -- a record for the company. That rate also topped the prior-year period's 16.7% year-over-year gross merchandise volume increase, indicating that growth is once again accelerating on the company's e-commerce platform.

Now what

Etsy's share price rise has continued following the earnings release, having gained an additional 10% in March so far. The company appears to be finding success in making its online platform more engaging , and it expects that the business will continue to gain momentum in the current fiscal year.

Revenue is projected to grow between 21% and 23% and gross merchandise volume is forecast to increase between 14% and 16%. Management expects that these gains will be driven by a range of positive catalysts including increased site traffic, improvements to the user experience, and international growth.

Etsy has not issued net income guidance for this year, but it does expect its non- GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin to rise to between 20% and 22% (up from roughly 18% in 2017) thanks to cost-cutting initiatives and migrating some of its business processes to the cloud. That's not necessarily the best metric to hinge an investment thesis on, as it can be subject to a lot of manipulation, but it does look like Etsy is on track to deliver solid earnings growth in 2018.

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Keith Noonan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Etsy. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy .

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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