Shares of energy-in-a-box fuel cell company Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) are down 5.4% around 3 p.m. EDT Monday, the first trading day after a Barron's column criticized valuations in the renewable-energy sector over the weekend.
The column noted that fuel cell stocks Plug Power and Ballard Power have both quadrupled over the past year, and may be due for a pull-back. Bloom Energy is up "only" 64% in the same period -- but that's still 10 times the gain on the broader S&P 500, and may be indicative of similar irrational exuberance, but to a different degree.
Investors are taking the warning to heart, selling off shares of all three companies today. Still, with Ballard stock down only 2.8% so far, and Plug down just a bit more (3%), the losses at Bloom Energy are nearly twice as bad. Is that fair?
It might not be.
Consider that while Bloom Energy has not yet reported a profit in the two years since its IPO, neither has Plug Power -- in more than 20 years. Ballard has earned full-year profits two or three times in its history, but not since 2008. So of the three, Bloom Energy has actually been losing money for the shortest period of time (as a publicly traded company, at least).
Moreover, while neither Ballard nor Plug is generating positive free cash flow (FCF) at present, Bloom at least was FCF-positive last year, and remains so on a trailing-12-month basis. While I can't say as I'm terribly optimistic about the prospects of any of these three companies right now, it seems to me that Bloom Energy's financials look to be the least bad among them.
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