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What's in the Cards for Expedia Group (EXPE) in Q3 Earnings?

Expedia Group, Inc.EXPE is scheduled to report third-quarter 2018 results on Oct 25.

The company outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average positive earnings surprise of 16.18%.

In the last reported quarter, Expedia posted earnings of $1.38 per share, the positive surprise being 51.65%. Further, the figure surged 55.1% on a year-over-year basis. Also, the bottom line improved from a loss of 46 cents in the first quarter.

Revenues increased 14.7% sequentially and 11.2% on a year-over-year basis to $2.88 billion. However, the figure lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.89 billion.

The top line was driven by robust performance of HomeAway, Core OTA, Brand Expedia, Hotels.com and Expedia Partner Solutions. This boosted gross bookings and stayed lodging room nights numbers.

Notably, shares of Expedia have lost 1.2% on a year-to-date basis against the industry 's rise of 4.2%.

Nevertheless, Expedia continues to benefit from strong segmental performance which will help the stock to rebound. Let's see how things are shaping up for the upcoming quarterly results.

Core OTA

In the second quarter, revenues in the segment increased 17.2% sequentially and 12.1% year over year to $2.25 billion. Growing stayed room night number and overall gross bookings will continue to drive results in the segment. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in the segment is currently pegged at $2.55 billion.

HomeAway

In the second quarter, HomeAway revenues rallied 32.6% from the year-ago quarter's figure and 26.9% sequentially to $297 million. Rising conversion rates and strong focus toward improvisation of instant bookability will continue to drive the top line in the soon-to-be-reported quarter. Further, consistent increase in stayed room night and property night remain are likely to contribute to the HomeAway listings in the third quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $395 million.

Egencia

Egencia revenues improved 15.6% on a year-over-year basis and 3.3% sequentially to $156 million in the second quarter. The segment is expected to perform well in the to-be-reported quarter with the ramp up of Egencia's sales force and growing clientele. Further, Egencia's offering of differentiated products are positives that will sustain momentum in the corporate travel market. This is likely to drive the top line in the segment in the quarter under review. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in the segment is pegged at $144 million.

Trivago

Although revenues from trivago fell 14.6% year over year and 12.2% to $280 million due to unfavourable changes in the marketplaces, the company's continued efforts to increase alternative accommodation listings on trivago platform are expected to aid the top line. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues in the segment is pegged at $312 million.

Expedia, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

Expedia, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise | Expedia, Inc. Quote

What Does Our Model Say

According to the Zacks model, a company with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) has good chance of beating estimates if it also has a positive Earnings ESP .

Expedia currently has a Zacks Rank #2 and an Earnings ESP of +3.73%. Hence, our proven model indicates that the company is likely to beat estimates in the third quarter.

Sell-rated stocks (Zacks Rank #4 or 5) are best avoided. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they're reported with our Earnings ESP Filter .

Other Stocks That Warrant a Look

Here are a few stocks worth considering as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to deliver earnings beat in their upcoming releases.

Vishay Intertechnology VSH has an Earnings ESP of +0.62% and a Zacks Rank #1. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here .

Advanced Energy Industries AEIS has an Earnings ESP of +2.70% and a Zacks Rank #2.

AMETEK AME has an Earnings ESP of +0.71% and a Zacks Rank #2.

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Expedia, Inc. (EXPE): Free Stock Analysis Report

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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