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Viavi Solutions Sticks to Next-Day Widening Pattern in Wake of Earnings-Driven After-Hours Moves

Viavi Solutions ( VIAV ), formerly JDS Uniphase ( JDSU ), is due with its Q4 results in the after-hours session on Tuesday, Aug. 11, and analysts polled by Capital IQ expect the company to report a profit of $0.10 per share on revenue of $321.1 million.

VIAV is one to watch for potential next-day wider movement as the stock has seen more aggressive next-day action following 34 of its last 46 after-hours earnings events, or about 74% of the time. The stock adds to its evening trade in next-day action regardless of whether its up or down in the after-hours, offering both longs and shorts solid opportunities to play the shares.

The near-term performance favors widening, as the issue has expanded its after-hours move in next-day regular session trade in 16 of the last 23 quarters.

On April 30, 2015, VIAV declined 3.6% in after-hours trade after missing Q3 revenue expectations and setting its Q4 outlook below the Street. The stock cut its downside the next day, ending the May 1 regular session off 0.7%.

On Jan. 29, 2015, VIAV declined 4.5% in night trade after missing Q2 estimates. The stock declined further the next day, closing the Jan. 30 regular session down 8.3%.

On Oct. 29, 2014, VIAV advanced 4% in after-hours trade after beating Q1 expectations and setting in-line guidance for Q2. It firmed higher on Oct. 30 regular session, advancing 4.3%.

On Aug. 12, 2014, VIAV dropped 4.6% in night trade after beating Q4 estimates but also setting its Q1 outlook below the Street view. The stock headed lower in the Aug. 13 regular session, ending down 8.4%.

On April 30, 2014, VIAV declined 6.4% in after-hours trade after missing Q3 expectations and setting weaker-than-expected guidance. The stock tumbled lower the following day, closing the May 1 regular session off 14.2%.

On Jan. 30, 2014, VIAV gained 4.6% in night trade after posting better-than-expected Q2 results and in-line Q3 guidance. The stock narrowed its gains slightly the next day, ending the Jan. 31 regular session up 4.4%.

On Oct. 30, 2013, VIAV declined 7.4% in after-hours trade despite beating Q1 expectations. The stock was hit for a deeper slide the next day, closing the Oct. 31 regular session down 11.2%.

On Aug. 13, 2013, VIAV edged up 0.2% in night trade after missing on Q4 sales and meeting on earnings. The stock reversed direction the next day, closing the Aug. 14 regular session down 3.8%.

On May 1, 2013, VIAV gained 5.3% in after-hours trade despite missing Q3 expectations. The stock cut its upside the next day, ending the May 2 regular session with a 3.8% advance.

On Jan. 30, 2013, VIAV soared 14.1% in night trade after beating on Q2 and setting in-line guidance for Q3. The stock header higher the next day, ending the Jan. 31 regular session up 17%.

On Oct. 31, 2012, VIAV declined 2.6% in pre-bell trade, the first day of trading after exchanges closed due to Hurricane Sandy. VIAV beat Q1 EPS estimates, missed on revenue, and set its Q2 revenue view below expectations. The stock closed that day's regular session off a heftier 6.1%.

On Aug. 14, 2012, VIAV gained 3.8% in night trade after beating Q4 expectations. The stock jumped higher the next day, closing the Aug. 15 regular session up 8.2%.

On May 2, 2012, VIAV declined 3.6% in after-hours trade after missing Q3 revenue estimates and setting its Q4 revenue guidance below expectations. The stock added slightly to its downside the next day, ending the May 3 regular session down 3.7%.

On Feb. 1, 2012, VIAV jumped 6.6% in evening action on better-than-expected Q2 results and in-line Q3 guidance. The stock reversed direction the following day, closing the Feb. 2 regular session down a hefty 7.1%.

On Nov. 1, 2011, VIAV advanced 5.5% in evening trade on the back of better-than-expected Q1 results and Q2 revenue guidance below Street estimates. The stock added to its gains the Nov. 2 regular session, closing up 8.5%.

On Aug. 17, 2011, VIAV dropped 3.5% in after-hours trade after meeting Q4 earnings estimates but also setting its Q1 outlook below expectations. The stock was hammered lower the next day, closing the Aug. 18 regular session.

On May 4, 2011, VIAV jumped 9.5% in night trade after beating Q3 estimates and setting its Q4 guidance in a range that straddled the Street view. The stock narrowed its upside the following day, closing the May 5 regular session up 6.9%.

On Feb. 3, 2011, VIAV soared 18.1% in after-hours trade after reporting better-than-expected results and guidance. The stock added to its upside the following day, closing the Feb. 4 regular session up 26.9%.

On Nov. 4, 2010, VIAV dropped 2.8% in evening trade after missing Q1 revenue estimates, beating on earnings and setting in line guidance. The stock reversed direction the following day, ending the Nov. 5 regular session up 2.5%.

On Aug. 25, 2010, VIAV declined 3.6% in after-hours action after missing revenue expectations, beating on EPS, and setting Q4 revenue guidance above the Street view. The stock headed lower the following day, closing the Aug. 26 regular session down 4.7%.

On May 5, 2010, VIAV declined 7.5% in evening trade after coming in shy of Q3 revenue expectations. The stock was hammered lower the next day, closing the May 6 regular session down 20.1%.

On Feb. 2, 2010, VIAV firmed 3.2% in after-hours action after reporting better-than-expected results and guidance. The stock added to its upside the following day, closing the Feb. 3 regular session up 4%.

On Nov. 5, 2009, VIAV advanced 4.1% in after-hours trade after reporting better-than-expected results and guidance. The stock added to its gains the following day, ending the Nov. 6 regular session up 6.4%.

On Aug. 19, 2009, VIAV slipped 0.7% in evening trade after coming in shy of revenue expectations but beating the Street's loss expectation and issuing guidance that straddled analyst estimates. The stock turned higher the following day, ending the Aug. 20 regular session up 8.1%.

On April 29, 2009, VIAV shed 12.9% in after-hours action after missing Q3 revenue expectations and setting its Q4 guidance below the Street view. The stock tumbled further the following day, losing 17.2% in the April 30 regular session.

On Feb. 5, 2009, VIAV declined 7% in after-hours trade after missing revenue expectations and setting its guidance below the Street view. It cut its downside slightly the following regular session, closing with a 6.5% decline.

On Oct. 29, 2008, the stock fell 5% after it beat with Q1 earnings but set Q2 revenue view well below the Street's estimate. The loss extended to 8.5% the next day.

On Aug. 20, 2008, the stock dropped 10.2% during evening trading after a Q4 miss and Q1 revenue guidance below the Street view. The loss expanded to 12.4% the next day.

On April 30, 2008, the stock lost 9.8% in evening trading after reporting a Q3 revenue miss and guiding below the Street for Q4. The loss fattened to 16.1% by the closing bell the next day.

On Feb. 5, 2008, the stock jumped 19.6% as VIAV beat with Q2 results. The gain expanded the next day, to 26%.

On Oct. 31, 2007, the stock fell 1.7% in evening trading despite a beat with the latest results; revenue guidance straddled the Street mean. The loss widened to 3.9% the next day.

On Aug 22, 2007, VIAV gained 3% in night trade after beating Q4 estimates and guiding for Q1 to be in line to above expectations. Shares, though, reversed course and closed the next day session down 5%.

On May 2, 2007, the stock fell 9.8% after the company beat with sales but guided below the Street. The loss was a deeper 13.8% the next day.

On Jan. 31, 2007, VIAV slipped 2.3% in the evening session despite swinging to a Q2 profit that topped Street views. Shares fell even further the next day, closing the regular session down 6%.

On Nov. 2, 2006, VIAV advanced 5.6% in after-hours trade following better-than-expected earnings results. Buyers piled into the issue the next day, goosing the stock to a 16.1% rise by the closing bell.

On Aug. 30, 2006, the stock skidded 14.4% in the night session following quarterly results that showed the company meets on Q4 EPS, beats on revenue but guides for Q3 revs below the Street view. The loss increased to 16.6% the next day.

On May 3, 2006, shares fell 6% in night trading after the company reported in line with breakeven earnings but guided for revenue in a range that could disappoint. The loss increased to 6.8% the next day.

On February 1, 2006, VIAV slipped 3.8% in after hours when the company matched Q2 sales estimates and forecast Q3 sales in line with expectations. The shares trimmed their losses the next day, ending the regular session down 3.1%.

On November 9, 2005, VIAV dipped 0.4% in evening trade despite topping Q1 sales estimates, matching loss expectations and forecasting Q2 sales above Street targets. Despite a solid report, the shares fell further, ending the next day session down 4.2%.

On Sept. 1, 2005, VIAV slipped 3.2% despite topping Q1 and full-year sales estimates and guiding Q1 above the Street. It found more support in the Sept. 2 regular session, edging down 0.6%.

On April 27, 2005, VIAV slid 6% after hours after posting a Q3 non-GAAP loss, topping sales estimates, and guiding Q4 sales in line. It widened that loss in the April 28 regular session, plunging 9.7%.

VIAV shed 6.9% the night of Jan. 26, 2005 after the company reported in-line Q2 results but guided its Q3 sales below the Street view. The stock recorded more aggressive downside momentum the next day, losing 8.5% by the Jan. 27 closing bell.

VIAV was hit for an 9.1% decline the night of Oct. 27, 2004 after reporting Q1 revenue ahead of expectations but issuing Q2 guidance that fell short of current Street estimates. The stock slid a more pronounced 10.5% in the Oct. 28 regular session.

On July 28, 2004 VIAV jumped 7.6% in after-hours trade after beating expectations and boosting its guidance. The stock ramped up 14.6% by the close of the July 29 regular session.

VIAV slipped 6.7% the night of April 28, 2004 after the company topped the Street view but guided lower. It was hit for deeper declines the next day, swooning 15.8% by the closing bell.

On Jan. 28, 2004 VIAV edged down 1.7% in night trade following better-than-expected earnings results. It eked out a 1.9% decline by the close of the Jan. 29 regular session.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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