The following are today's upgrades for Validea's Contrarian Investor model based on the published strategy of David Dreman. This contrarian strategy finds the most unpopular mid- and large-cap stocks in the market and looks for improving fundamentals.
AFLAC INCORPORATED (AFL) is a large-cap value stock in the Insurance (Accident & Health) industry. The rating according to our strategy based on David Dreman changed from 64% to 76% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: Aflac Incorporated is a business holding company. The Company is involved in supplemental health and life insurance, which is marketed and administered through its subsidiary, American Family Life Assurance Company of Columbus (Aflac). The Company's insurance business consists of two segments: Aflac Japan and Aflac U.S. The Company designs the United States insurance products to provide supplemental coverage for people having medical or primary insurance coverage. Aflac U.S. offers accident coverage on both an individual and group basis. The Company offers cancer plans, critical illness plans, and critical care and recovery plans. The Company designs the United States insurance products to provide supplemental coverage for people having medical or primary insurance coverage. Aflac U.S. offers accident coverage on both an individual and group basis. The Company offers cancer plans, critical illness plans, and critical care and recovery plans.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy's tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy's criteria.
| MARKET CAP: | PASS |
| EARNINGS TREND: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH RATE IN THE IMMEDIATE PAST AND FUTURE: | PASS |
| P/E RATIO: | PASS |
| PRICE/CASH FLOW (P/CF) RATIO: | FAIL |
| PRICE/BOOK (P/B) VALUE: | PASS |
| PRICE/DIVIDEND (P/D) RATIO: | FAIL |
| PAYOUT RATIO: | FAIL |
| RETURN ON EQUITY: | FAIL |
| PRE-TAX PROFIT MARGINS: | PASS |
| YIELD: | FAIL |
Detailed Analysis of AFLAC INCORPORATED
BP PLC (ADR) (BP) is a large-cap value stock in the Oil & Gas Operations industry. The rating according to our strategy based on David Dreman changed from 61% to 69% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: BP p.l.c. is engaged in the global energy business with operations in Europe, North and South America, Australasia, Asia and Africa. The Company provides customers with fuel for transport, energy for heat and light, power for industry, and the petrochemicals products used to make everyday items such as paints, clothes and packaging. The Company's segments include Upstream, Downstream, Rosneft, and Other businesses and corporate. The Upstream segment is responsible for its activities in oil and natural gas exploration, field development and production. The Downstream segment has global marketing and manufacturing operations, and include the fuels, lubricants and petrochemicals business of the Company. Rosneft is the Company's Russian refining business that owns and operates approximately 13 refineries in Russia, and holds stakes in three refineries in Germany, one in India and one in Belarus.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy's tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy's criteria.
| MARKET CAP: | PASS |
| EARNINGS TREND: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH RATE IN THE IMMEDIATE PAST AND FUTURE: | FAIL |
| P/E RATIO: | FAIL |
| PRICE/CASH FLOW (P/CF) RATIO: | FAIL |
| PRICE/BOOK (P/B) VALUE: | PASS |
| PRICE/DIVIDEND (P/D) RATIO: | PASS |
| CURRENT RATIO: | PASS |
| PAYOUT RATIO: | FAIL |
| RETURN ON EQUITY: | FAIL |
| PRE-TAX PROFIT MARGINS: | FAIL |
| YIELD: | PASS |
| LOOK AT THE TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY: | FAIL |
Detailed Analysis of BP PLC (ADR)
FIRST HORIZON NATIONAL CORP (FHN) is a mid-cap value stock in the Regional Banks industry. The rating according to our strategy based on David Dreman changed from 71% to 83% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: First Horizon National Corporation (FHN) is a bank holding company. The Company provides financial services through its subsidiary, First Tennessee Bank National Association (the Bank). The Company has four segments: regional banking, fixed income, corporate and non-strategic. The Company's regional banking segment offers financial products and services, including traditional lending and deposit taking, to retail and commercial customers in Tennessee and other selected markets. The regional banking segment provides investments and financial planning. The Company's fixed income segment consists of fixed income securities sales, trading, and strategies for institutional clients in the United States and abroad. The Company's corporate segment consists of funds management, tax credit investment activities and gains on the extinguishment of debt, among others. The non-strategic segment offers wind-down national consumer lending activities and mortgage banking elements.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy's tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy's criteria.
| MARKET CAP: | PASS |
| EARNINGS TREND: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH RATE IN THE IMMEDIATE PAST AND FUTURE: | FAIL |
| P/E RATIO: | PASS |
| PRICE/CASH FLOW (P/CF) RATIO: | FAIL |
| PRICE/BOOK (P/B) VALUE: | PASS |
| PRICE/DIVIDEND (P/D) RATIO: | FAIL |
| PAYOUT RATIO: | PASS |
| RETURN ON EQUITY: | FAIL |
| PRE-TAX PROFIT MARGINS: | PASS |
| YIELD: | PASS |
Detailed Analysis of FIRST HORIZON NATIONAL CORP
More details on Validea's David Dreman strategy
About David Dreman: Dreman's Kemper-Dreman High Return Fund was one of the best-performing mutual funds ever, ranking as the best of 255 funds in its peer groups from 1988 to 1998, according to Lipper Analytical Services. At the time Dreman published Contrarian Investment Strategies: The Next Generation, the fund had been ranked number one in more time periods than any of the 3,175 funds in Lipper's database. In addition to managing money, Dreman is also a longtime Forbes magazine columnist.
About Validea: Validea is an investment research service that follows the published strategies of investment legends. Validea offers both stock analysis and model portfolios based on gurus who have outperformed the market over the long-term, including Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch and Martin Zweig. For more information about Validea, click here
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
