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Some T/A targets according to UOB

UOB out with a client note/recommendations 1 July 2016

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While our tech guru Greg is tied up on the ForexLive ACT course here's someone else's T/A for those of you so inclined.

EUR/USD: Bearish: Diminished bearish momentum but downside risk is still clearly intact.

The rebound from last Friday's low of 1.0909 has been more resilient than expected as EUR touched a high of 1.1155 yesterday. However, most indicators are still in bearish territory and the greater risk still lies of the downside. The 1.0909 low is acting as a major support but a break of this level could lead to a rapid drop the mid-March low of 1.0820. Only a move above 1.1210 would indicate that a short-term low is in place.

GBP/USD: Bearish: A move to 1.3000 would not be surprising.

We view the current movement as a short-term consolidation phase that is expected to lead to an attempt lower to take out the post-Brexit low of 1.3120/25 (for a move to the major 1.3000 level). However, it has been a week since Brexit and the lack of follow through has dented the downward momentum somewhat but confirmation of an interim low is only upon a break above 1.3600.

AUD/USD: Neutral: Expect choppy trading between 0.7305/0.7510. [No change in view]

AUD is rebounding quickly from the 0.7325 low seen on Monday. While the up-move appears to have scope to extend higher and test the strong 0.7510 resistance, a clear break above this level is not expected. In other words, we are holding on to our neutral view for now and expect AUD to continue to trade choppily within a 0.7305/0.7510 range.

NZD/USD: Neutral: In a broad 0.6975/0.7170 range. [No change in view]

NZD came close to the major 0.6975 support on Monday (low of 0.6971) but rebounded sharply. The up-move is viewed as part of a broader consolidation and not the start of a sustained rally. That said, a test of the major resistance at 0.7170 would not be surprising. Overall, we continue to hold a neutral view and expect further range trading between 0.6975/0.7170.

USD/JPY: Neutral: In a broad 101.00/105.00 range.

While USD has been edging higher over the last several days, the up-move is lacking in momentum and the movement is viewed as part of a consolidation phase and not the start of a sustained rally. The outlook remains mixed, even from a short-term perspective and market seems undecided about what to do with this pair. Overall, we expect further range trading that is likely contained within a 101.00/105.00 range.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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