Markets

Oil rises as U.S. stockpiles drop

Oil rose on Wednesday after an industry report showed crude and winter fuel stockpiles declined last week in top-consumer the United States, reducing a surplus that has weighed on market sentiment for months.

U.S. crude for November rose 49 cents to $76.67 a barrel at 0652 GMT (2:52 a.m. EDT), approaching a two-week high above $77 touched earlier this week, while ICE Brent for the same month climbed 50 cents to $79.21.

Manufacturing in China, the world's second-largest oil user, is regaining some of its usual vigor after slowing in the first half of 2010, as evidenced by an increase in HSBC's China Purchasing Managers' Index to a five-month high in September.

As the Northern Hemisphere winter approaches, "there will be a pick-up in demand, but how much that tightens the market is the important thing for the oil price," said Ben Westmore, a commodities analyst at National Australia Bank.

U.S. inventories of distillates, a fuel category that includes heating oil and diesel, unexpectedly dropped by 2.8 million barrels in the week to September 24, pulling stockpiles 3.5 million barrels below year-ago levels, the American Petroleum Institute ( API ) reported late on Tuesday.

Crude stocks fell by 2.4 million barrels, the API said, eight times as much as the 300,000-barrel decline forecast in a Reuters survey of analysts. Still, they remained 22 million barrels higher than in the same week a year ago.

"On the inventory side, with the API data we saw crude and distillate stockpiles falling, but the impact on the market will depend on the EIA numbers," Westmore said. "It's more that the bearish information will have less effect."

Government statistics on inventories and demand from the Energy Information Administration ( EIA ) will follow on Wednesday at 1430 GMT.

RECORD INVENTORIES

Total U.S. petroleum inventories, including crude and products, rose to 1.144 billion barrels in the week to September 17, a record when measured on a weekly basis, a series of data that the EIA started compiling in 1990.

U.S. crude imports are still recovering from the shutdown of two major Enbridge pipelines that ship Canadian crude to refiners in the Midwest. Line 6A was shut from September 9-17. Line 6B, which was closed in July, resumed operations on Sept 27.

U.S. weekly retail gasoline demand fell versus the previous week and was lower against the year-ago period, MasterCard said on Tuesday.

Gasoline inventories rose 3 million barrels last week, according to the API, six times as much as expected.

Qatar Oil Minister Abdullah al-Attiyah said on Tuesday he does not expect OPEC to make any changes in its production output quotas when the group meets in October.

OPEC crude oil supply has fallen so far this month to the lowest level since November 2009 due to reduced output from Angola and smaller declines in the United Arab Emirates and Iran, a Reuters survey showed on Tuesday.

But oil prices on Tuesday slipped after U.S. consumer confidence fell to its lowest level in seven months in September, underscoring lingering worries about the strength of the economic recovery.

In a sign of stabilization in the housing market, U.S. home prices hovered above multi-year lows without the help of the homebuyer tax credit that ended in April.

A top Federal Reserve official said on Tuesday that he has yet to make up his mind whether further easing in monetary policy is needed, despite a weakening U.S. economy and some risk of deflation.

DOLLAR SUPPORT

Asian stocks hit a two-year high and the dollar was stuck near a seven-month low after poor U.S. data reinforced expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will take more action to help the struggling economy.

"The weaker U.S. dollar is having an impact across commodities," Westmore said. "But there is concern that further financial troubles related to eurozone debt may be tempering oil demand at the margin."

Gold hit a lifetime high on Wednesday, its 10th record in 12 sessions, as the dollar dropped against a basket of currencies on expectations the Federal Reserve would take new measures to shore up the economy.

Oil investors kept watching any possible weather threat to supplies as Tropical Depression 16 neared tropical storm strength in the Caribbean Sea. But it was expected to drift northeast and away from Gulf of Mexico energy infrastructure.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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