NMI Holdings Inc (NMIH) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

Have you been paying attention to shares of NMI Holdings (NMIH)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 4.8% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $32.8 in the previous session. NMI Holdings has gained 9.5% since the start of the year compared to the 1.4% move for the Zacks Finance sector and the 12.6% return for the Zacks Insurance - Property and Casualty industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on April 30, 2024, NMI Holdings reported EPS of $1.08 versus consensus estimate of $0.96 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 2.51%.

For the current fiscal year, NMI Holdings is expected to post earnings of $4.18 per share on $638.24 million in revenues. This represents an 8.85% change in EPS on a 10.23% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $4.54 per share on $675.18 million in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 8.55% and 5.79%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

NMI Holdings may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

NMI Holdings has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 7.8X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 12.9X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 7.8X versus its peer group's average of 13.5X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.17. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, NMI Holdings currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if NMI Holdings passes the test. Thus, it seems as though NMI Holdings shares could have potential in the weeks and months to come.

How Does NMIH Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of NMIH have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is CNA Financial Corporation (CNA). CNA has a Zacks Rank of # 2 (Buy) and a Value Score of A, a Growth Score of D, and a Momentum Score of D.

Earnings were strong last quarter. CNA Financial Corporation beat our consensus estimate by 27.88%, and for the current fiscal year, CNA is expected to post earnings of $5.03 per share on revenue of $12.21 billion.

Shares of CNA Financial Corporation have gained 0.7% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 8.82X and a P/CF of 10.32X.

The Insurance - Property and Casualty industry is in the top 15% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for NMIH and CNA, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.

Only $1 to See All Zacks' Buys and Sells

We're not kidding.

Several years ago, we shocked our members by offering them 30-day access to all our picks for the total sum of only $1. No obligation to spend another cent.

Thousands have taken advantage of this opportunity. Thousands did not - they thought there must be a catch. Yes, we do have a reason. We want you to get acquainted with our portfolio services like Surprise Trader, Stocks Under $10, Technology Innovators,and more, that closed 228 positions with double- and triple-digit gains in 2023 alone.

See Stocks Now >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

NMI Holdings Inc (NMIH) : Free Stock Analysis Report

CNA Financial Corporation (CNA) : Free Stock Analysis Report

To read this article on Zacks.com click here.

Zacks Investment Research

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


More Related Articles

Info icon

This data feed is not available at this time.

Sign up for the TradeTalks newsletter to receive your weekly dose of trading news, trends and education. Delivered Wednesdays.