Medtronic (MDT) Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?
Shares of Medtronic (MDT) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 8.5% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $111.24 in the previous session. Medtronic has gained 21.4% since the start of the year compared to the 3% move for the Zacks Medical sector and the 18.5% return for the Zacks Medical - Products industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on August 20, 2019, Medtronic reported EPS of $1.26 versus consensus estimate of $1.18.
For the current fiscal year, Medtronic is expected to post earnings of $5.56 per share on $31.5 billion in revenues. This represents a 6.54% change in EPS on a 3.09% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $6 per share on $32.94 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 7.82% and 4.58%, respectively.
Medtronic may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Medtronic has a Value Score of C. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are B and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 19.9X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 15.2X versus its peer group's average of 18.2X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 2.71. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Medtronic currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Medtronic meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Medtronic shares could have potential in the weeks and months to come.
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