Markets

Long-shot trades in uncertain market

Yesterday's difficult market caused investors to take long-shot trades with low probability of success but also limited risk.

One such trade occurred in Adtran as a block of 1,500 May 29 calls were bought for $2.93 and an equal number of contracts were sold each in the May 35 calls and May 24 puts for $0.92 and $1.81 respectively.

Buying calls gives investors the right to purchase shares at the strike price, and selling calls obligates them to sell at the strike. With puts, sellers are required to buy shares if they fall to the option trade's strike price. (See our Education section)

The net result of yesterday's activity was that the investor paid $0.20 for the trade and will make $6 if ADTN goes back to $35 on expiration. He or she is at risk of losing money only if the stock falls below $24. Adtran, which hasn't traded that low since early 2010, fell 0.84 percent yesterday to close at $28.35.

Similar trades occurred in Ultra Petroleum and BorgWarner . In UPL they sold the June 28 puts for $3.04 and bought the June 32 calls for $3.32, resulting in a cost of $0.28 but providing significant leverage if the stock rallies into the spring. UPL dropped 3.48 percent to $29.95.

BWA investors sold the January 50 puts and bought the January 75 calls yesterday, collecting a small credit of about $0.07. The stock fell 3.24 percent to $61.90 and needs to rally all the way back to $75 for the trade to earn a profit. The position also won't lose money as long as BWA stays above $50, significantly below its 52-week low.

The common theme in these trades is that they're cheaper than simply buying calls, which we often see when investors are more clearly bullish. They also indicate that traders would be willing to buy shares if they fall significantly from current levels.

(A version of this post appeared on InsideOptions yesterday.)

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Copyright © 2010 OptionMonster® Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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