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TUR

Lone Turkey ETF on a Wild Ride After Political Volatility

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After testing its long-term support level on a precipitous sell-off in response to a political power struggle this week, the Turkey exchange traded fund (ETF) rebounded Thursday.

The iShares MSCI Turkey ETF (NYSEArca: TUR ) rose 1.8% Thursday after plunging 12.9% over the past three sessions, which briefly sent TUR below its long-term, 200-day simple moving average.

Turkish markets initially plunged this week after the ouster of Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu raised concerns over the economy's future outlook, reports Yeliz Candemir for the Wall Street Journal.

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President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's ongoing power play to control the Justice and Development Party, or AKP, is seen by some market observers as a significant impediment on Turkish assets.

"Markets have taken significant discomfort from the blurry political atmosphere," Sertan Kargin, chief economist at Global Securities, told the WSJ. "Turkish politics are now sailing into 'uncharted waters' at least for the next couple of months."

The World Bank projects annual growth to slow to 3.5% this year from 4% in 2015. The government change up may also complicate matters for central bank Governor Murat Cetinkaya as Ankara could press for further rate cuts to bolster economic growth, which may leave the economy open to external shocks, a depreciating lira and inflationary pressures.

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However, Turkey's equity market rebounded after Davutoglu vowed the economy would continue to grow without him.

"Whatever the decisions we take today, we have a government that will be on duty until the very end, and no one should try to tamper with the economy," Davutoglu said, pledging economic continuity throughout the ruling party's four-year term. "We are living a spring time in the economy."

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Davutoglu's departure may also help alleviate some of the political uncertainty, according to Erdogan's chief advisers on the economy, Cemil Ertem.

"The markets should greet this positively," Ertem said. "Speculative capital flows that we may see during periods of crises will rapidly improve in both global markets and Turkish markets."

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iShares MSCI Turkey ETF

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

This article was provided by our partner Tom Lydon of etftrends.com.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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