A little more than three years ago, JetBlue Airways (NASDAQ: JBLU) introduced its upscale Mint service on select flights between New York and Los Angeles. Mint flights use a dedicated fleet of Airbus (NASDAQOTH: EADSY) A321s, featuring a premium cabin with 16 lie-flat seats, whereas other JetBlue planes have an all-coach configuration.
Customers in JetBlue's Mint premium seats are treated to gourmet meals and a variety of other amenities. Coach class customers also benefit from larger seatback TVs with an expanded selection of satellite TV channels, unlimited premium snacks, and more frequent flights.
Not surprisingly, Mint flights have become extremely popular. As a result, JetBlue has steadily expanded the dedicated Mint A321 fleet and converted numerous routes to Mint service. On Monday, JetBlue announced the latest expansion of its Mint service, which could help it produce strong profit growth in 2018.
Mint has been a big success
Originally, JetBlue created the Mint product to solve a specific problem: the poor financial performance of its routes from New York to Los Angeles and San Francisco. As the profitability of those routes improved by leaps and bounds, JetBlue added more flights on those two routes. It then began expanding Mint to more cities. During 2016, JetBlue converted its Boston-San Francisco and Boston-Los Angeles routes to Mint service.
In mid-2016, JetBlue's management made Mint the linchpin of a long-term growth strategy for the transcontinental market. JetBlue ordered more A321s from Airbus in order to support the rollout of Mint to seven more routes: Fort Lauderdale-Los Angeles, Fort Lauderdale-San Francisco, New York-San Diego, Boston-San Diego, New York-Las Vegas, New York-Seattle, and Boston-Seattle.
This growth strategy is just starting to kick in. In the first half of 2017, JetBlue added four Mint planes to its fleet, allowing it to begin service on the two Fort Lauderdale Mint routes. By contrast, Airbus will deliver 10 more Mint planes to JetBlue in the second half of the year. JetBlue also has another 11 A321s on order for 2018, many of which will come in the Mint configuration.
A new wave of Mint expansion is coming
With all of these new planes arriving soon, JetBlue is set to ramp up its Mint expansion . Between now and year-end, it will convert its New York-San Diego and Boston-San Diego routes -- and some of its New York-Las Vegas flights -- to Mint service. It is also adding an extra daily flight on the Boston-San Francisco and Boston-Los Angeles routes.
On Monday, JetBlue announced its Mint expansion plans for early 2018. First, it has decided to offer two daily Mint flights between Boston and Las Vegas, beginning in early January. In February, it will convert its two daily Boston-Seattle flights to Mint service. Its New York-Seattle flight will convert to Mint service in April, with a second daily flight being added later in the year.
JetBlue will also add extra Mint flights on the Boston-San Francisco and New York-Los Angeles routes in early 2018, giving it up to five daily flights on the former and up to 11 daily flights on the latter. JetBlue is also adding more Mint flights to the Caribbean, but most of those routes only operate on Saturdays.
A lever for profit growth
The initial rollout of Mint coincided with a period of falling oil prices , leading to a huge increase in JetBlue's profitability. Adjusted earnings per share surged from $0.70 in 2014 to $1.98 in 2015 and $2.22 in 2016. However, EPS growth has ground to a halt in the past year, as JetBlue lost the benefit of falling fuel prices at the same time that its Mint expansion slowed.
As JetBlue moves through its current round of Mint expansion during the next several quarters, earnings growth could accelerate again. Indeed, JetBlue has consistently seen big unit revenue improvements after converting routes to Mint service.
If the new Mint flights are as successful as JetBlue expects, the company could announce another batch of Mint routes later this year or in early 2018. By late 2019, JetBlue could even offer Mint flights to Europe using Airbus' new A321LR, which will have 4,000 miles of range.
Airbus is certainly rooting for JetBlue to succeed. After all, the bigger Mint's expansion potential, the more airplanes Airbus will be able to sell in the coming years to fuel that growth.
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