Markets

Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) Stock?

Investors in shares of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.BCRX need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Callwhich expires onMarch 17, 2017 for the $6strike price had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.

What is Implied Volatility?

Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility could mean that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could also mean there is an event coming up soon that could cause a big rally or a huge sell off. However, implied volatility is only one piece of the puzzle when putting together an options trading strategy.

What do the Analysts Think?

Clearly, options traders are pricing in a big move for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals shares, but what is the fundamental picture for the company? Currently, BioCryst Pharmaceuticals is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) in the Medical Drugs that ranks in the top 29% of our Zacks Industry Rank. Over the last 60 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter has decreased from loss of 22 cents per share to loss of 23 cents.

Given the way analysts feel about BioCryst Pharmaceuticals right now, this huge implied volatility could mean there's a trade developing. Often times, options traders look for options with high levels of implied volatility to sell premium. This is a strategy many seasoned traders use because it captures decay. At expiration, the hope for these traders is that the underlying stock does not move as much as originally expected.

Looking to Trade Options?

Each week, our very own Dave Bartosiak gives his top options trades. Check out his recent live analysis and options trade for the NFLX earnings report completely free. See it here: Bartosiak: Trading Netflix (NFLX) Earnings with Options or check out the embed video below for more details:

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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