Markets

Is a Surprise in the Cards for Goodyear (GT) in Q1 Earnings?

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber CompanyGT is set to report first-quarter 2017 results before the market opens on Apr 28. In the last quarter, the tire manufacturer posted a positive earnings surprise of 9.20%.

Let us see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company Price and EPS Surprise

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company Price and EPS Surprise | The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company Quote

Factors at Play

Goodyear regularly launches innovative products and services to boost sales. The company is trying to boost its shareholder value. During 2017−2020, the company plans to make a capital deployment of $3.5 billion to $4 billion. In first-quarter 2017, the board of directors authorized a $1 billion increase in the share repurchase program.

Further, the company has been redeeming some of its outstanding senior notes using the proceeds from the offering of new senior notes with lower interest rate. These transactions will reduce the company's interest expense.

However, in Latin America, Goodyear is facing challenges in terms of a volatile political and economic environment, lower production volume in Venezuela and Brazil, and high currency fluctuations. Moreover, the recession in Brazil is expected to adversely impact the operating income from the region.

Goodyear faces pricing pressure from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). This is likely to have a negative impact on the company's profit margins as Goodyear sells about 30% of its tires to OEMs. The company anticipates total segment operating income for 2017 to be consistent with the 2016 level. Results will be adversely affected due to higher raw material costs and pricing of certain customers.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Goodyear is likely to beat earnings this quarter. This is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen. This is not the case here as you will see below:

Zacks ESP: Earnings ESP represents the difference between the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Goodyear's Earnings ESP is 0.00% as both the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate stand at 64 cents. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they're reported with our Earnings ESP Filter .

Zacks Rank: Goodyear carries a Zacks Rank #3, which increases the predictive power of ESP. However, we need to have a positive ESP to be confident about an earnings surprise.

We caution against stocks with Zacks Rank #4 or 5 (Sell rated) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions.

Price Performance

Goodyear underperformed the Zacks categorized Rubber - Tires industry over the last three months. The company's shares gained 13.1% over this period, compared with a 15% rise recorded by the industry.

Stocks that Warrant a Look

Here are some companies you may want to consider, as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter:

CNH Industrial N.V. CNHI has an Earnings ESP of +33.33% and a Zacks Rank #2. The company is scheduled to report first-quarter 2017 results on Apr 27. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Autoliv Inc. ALV has an Earnings ESP of +1.97% and a Zacks Rank #3. The company's first-quarter 2017 financial results are scheduled for release on Apr 28.

Delphi Automotive PLC DLPH has an Earnings ESP of +2.06% and a Zacks Rank #2. The company is scheduled to report first-quarter 2017 financial numbers on May 3.

Looking for Ideas with Even Greater Upside?

Today's investment ideas are short-term, directly based on our proven 1 to 3 month indicator. In addition, I invite you to consider our long-term opportunities. These rare trades look to start fast with strong Zacks Ranks, but carry through with double and triple-digit profit potential. Starting now, you can look inside our home run, value, and stocks under $10 portfolios, plus more. Click here for a peek at this private information >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report

CNH Industrial N.V. (CNHI): Free Stock Analysis Report

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV): Free Stock Analysis Report

Delphi Automotive PLC (DLPH): Free Stock Analysis Report

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT): Free Stock Analysis Report

To read this article on Zacks.com click here.

Zacks Investment Research

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

In This Story

ALV GT CNHI

Other Topics

Earnings Stocks

Latest Markets Videos

Zacks

Zacks is the leading investment research firm focusing on stock research, analysis and recommendations. In 1978, our founder discovered the power of earnings estimate revisions to enable profitable investment decisions. Today, that discovery is still the heart of the Zacks Rank. A wealth of resources for individual investors is available at www.zacks.com.

Learn More