Here’s Why RigNet Inc. Surged on Friday
In addition to sinking production in the U.S., oil production at other large global producers appears poised to be frozen at its January level. At least that's if a proposed production freeze between OPEC and Russia goes through. While that freeze has been rumored to be falling apart, major oil suppliers are scheduled to meet on April 17 to discuss the proposal with the market, hopeful that an agreement will be reached.
Typically a falling rig count and a production freeze would be bad news for oilfield-service companies like Baker Hughes or RigNet, and in the short term it is bad news. However, it's a longer-term net positive because it should enable the oil market to recovery quicker thus leading to a sustainable improvement in the oil price, which would lead to better activity levels for both companies. It's this hope of better days ahead that fueled RigNet's stock on Friday.
Now what: While the oil market seems to be getting better slowly, it still has a long way to go before conditions return to some sense of normality. Further, oil is much too low for oil producers to invest all that much into new offshore oil and gas projects, which is what RigNet needs. Not only that, but even once oil recovers to the level they need, probably in the $70 a barrel range, it still could be a year before they can even commit more capital offshore. That means it could be quite some time before RigNet's financials begin to improve, suggesting that a lot more volatility could be in the cards.
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Matt DiLallo owns shares of RigNet. The Motley Fool recommends RigNet. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days . We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy .
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