These days, weaEURtmre hearing a lot of pundits pontificating about which way the markets will go. But let me suggest something none of them are talking about:
What if stocks trade more or less flat for the next while?
ItaEURtms a contrarian call, to be sure, but thereaEURtms reason to think markets may be, well, kind of quiet in the coming days or weeks. And thereaEURtms a way we can squeeze a big 9.2% income stream out of just that kind of market.
The Flat-Market Theory
I know what youaEURtmre thinking: how on earth could stocks just hold their breath while America is on lockdown, possibly for a long time to come?
ItaEURtms important to remember why markets go up or down in the first place. They always go down when thereaEURtms more uncertainty, because thereaEURtms nothing markets hate more than uncertainty. On the other hand, when markets get bad news they already expected, they can go either up or downaEUR"and they usually donaEURtmt fall very far when they do drop.
You can see this in every bear market in US history: the market finds its bottom before the bad news really starts rolling in, then settles into a new price channel as the news gets worse.
Take the 2008 financial crisis. Stocks started to fall in late 2007 and were down 40% by the end of 2008, when unemployment had risen 58%.
Stocks Crash Before Unemployment Peaks
Then, as you can see above, stocks actually rose 15% at the start of 2009, even though unemployment climbed a further 38%. Why were stocks going up when unemployment was rising to its highest point in nearly a century? Because this was certain bad news, which sometimes makes the market rise because itaEURtms better than uncertainty.
ThataEURtms what we saw last week. On Friday, when we were told that over three million jobless claims were filed in a single weekaEUR"nearly five times the record set over 30 years agoaEUR"the market actually gained ground after the news broke in the morning.
Massive Jobless Claims Roll in, Stocks Roll Higher
The market rose because this was certain bad news: investors were expecting it; it was tangible and quantifiable. And it was not as bad as the worst estimates (some had expected five million claims) while being close to some of the more conservative estimates (around two million).
In other words, weaEURtmre at a point where the market sold off so aggressively, and investors were expecting such bad news, that stocks may have hit a flooraEUR"and they may stay there as more bad news trickles in, because weaEURtmre learning more about this crisis and how we can fix it.
How Options Markets Are Giving Us a Shot at 9.2% Dividends
It might sound crazy to expect a flat market today, because thereaEURtms still a lot of uncertainty out there. So what can we do?
One way to profit in this environment is by selling call options, which give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy a particular investment (a stock in this case) at a specified price within a specific time period. In return for that option, we get paid a premium by the buyer, which is ours to keep free and clear.
That best way to think about options is as a kind of insurance investors buy to protect other bets elsewhere, whether bullish or bearish.
WeaEURtmre not going to buy options ourselves, though; instead, weaEURtmre going to let a seasoned pro do it for us, through an actively managed closed-end fund (CEF), which will then hand these premiums off to us in the form of cash dividends.
One option-selling CEF to consider now is the Nuveen S&P 500 Dynamic Overwrite Fund (SPXX), which yields 9.2%, one of the highest levels the yield has seen in the past decade. This fund buys the stocks in the S&P 500 and sells call options on those holdings, passing on the cash it generates to investors as dividends. SPXX is also cheap, trading at a 12.5% discount to NAV.
Another option to consider is the Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Buy-Write Strategy Fund (EXD), which yields 11.3% and has a 9.4% discount to NAV. Like SPXX, EXD sells call options, but it differs in that it focuses on a tech-heavy portfolio of large-cap names like Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Facebook (FB) and Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL).A
These are the kinds of companies people are using more than ever, now that theyaEURtmre self-isolating, making EXD both well positioned for the current market and the period we find ourselves in.
Yours Now: 4 aEURoeForeveraEUR Dividends (up to 10.3%) to Buy Immediately
SPXX and EXD are good shorter-term buys, but I donaEURtmt recommend them for the long haul.
For that, youaEURtmre far better off aEURoegoing longaEURaEUR"that is, owning CEFs that hold the best stocks, bonds and real estate investment trusts (REITs) out there, and simply sitting back and collecting their outsized payouts.
And thanks to the pullback, weaEURtmre getting a chance to lock in some very attractive dividends indeed. My 4 favorite aEURoerecession readyaEUR CEFs yield 8.4%, on average, right now. One of these steady Eddie picks is paying an outsized 10.3%!
Think about that: 10.3% of your initial investment flowing back into your accountaEUR"in cashaEUR"every year. ItaEURtms the very definition of safety.
The time to buy this aEURoe4 packaEUR of recession-ready picks is now, so letaEURtms not beat around the bush. Click here for full details on these 4 income plays: names, tickers, buy-under prices, complete dividend histories and more.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.