Stocks

Has Twitter's Stock Peaked?

Twitter’s stock (NYSE: TWTR) fell by 3.7% to $66 in the last five trading days. In comparison, the broader S&P500 fell by 1% over the last five trading days. The company reports Q2 2021 earnings on Thursday, July 22. As per Trefis’ Twitter Valuation, the share price is above its near-term potential of $62. Now, is TWTR stock poised to grow? Based on our machine learning analysis of trends in the stock price over the last ten years, there is a 51% chance of a near term decline in TWTR stock over the next month (twenty-one trading days). See our analysis on Twitter’s Stock Chances Of Rise for more details.

Five Days: TWTR -3.7%, vs. S&P500 -1%; Underperformed market

(21% event probability)

  • Twitter’s stock declined 3.7% over a five day trading period ending 7/16/2021, compared to the broader market (S&P500) which declined 1%
  • A change of -3.7% or more over five trading days has a 21% event probability, which has occurred 402 times out of 1930 in the last eight years

Ten Days: TWTR -2.5%, vs. S&P500 0.2%; Underperformed market

(37% event probability)

  • Twitter’s stock declined 2.5% over the last ten trading days (two weeks), compared to the broader market (S&P500) rise of 0.2%
  • A change of -2.5% or more over ten trading days has a 37% event probability, which has occurred 711 times out of 1925 in the last eight years

Twenty-One Days: TWTR 11%, vs. S&P500 2.2%; Outperformed market

(24% event probability)

  • Twitter’s stock rose 11% over the last twenty-one trading days (one month), compared to the broader market (S&P500) rise of 2.2%
  • A change of 11% or more over twenty-one trading days has a 24% event probability, which has occurred 468 times out of 1914 in the last eight years

What if you’re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Here’s a high-quality portfolio that’s beaten the market since 2016.

See all Trefis Price Estimates and Download Trefis Data here

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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    Trefis is an interactive financial community structured around trends, forecasts and insights related to some of the most popular stocks in the US. Whereas most finance sites simply give you the facts about where a stock has been and what a company has done in the past, Trefis focuses entirely on the future.

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