Markets

The Grain Report - REPORTS GIVE TAKE

REPORTS GIVE TAKE........... Reports give and reports take. Last week gave us the rally we called for into the big June 9 USDA monthly crop report. December corn on the week rallied from a Monday, June 6 low of 6.64 to a report day high of 7.22 or $.58. But the length of the rally was actually 1.06 as it began May 12th at 6.16. So, as is the case we called for after the report a profit-taking break is next. We saw the 7.22 high last week give way to a low of 6.47 this week or $.75. This the break this week though expected was fair considering a one dollar plus rally as funds fat with profits had plenty of time before re-entering long again into the June 30 final planted acreage report. The rule of thumb is we have a 35 to 50% percent correction of a rally. This was a little bit more. When we come in Monday there will be 8 days prior the June 30 report to get in position. Most of the large fund money waits for the 5 to 3 days prior the report released to enter long but speculators and large traders will be looking for that chart low to price in their positions and get in early. Weather looks to remain wet across the upper planes and Midwest into early next week. This will keep old-timer saying rain makes grain and it looks good for crops, but the reality is the rain is detrimental right now in a lot of areas. Sunday through Monday will bring up to 3 inches across Iowa into Illinois, with up to 4 to 8 inches in the upper planes. This will further talk of ponding in pooling of the low land areas and flooding of rivers. We need warmer days and nights to improve crops as well, as less rain to a more normal level. That will come eventually as July enters. The near-term weather looks to encourage talk of a bullish June 30 acreage report. Technicals read like this. December corn has minor support at 6.55 entering Friday. A close under and 6.34 is next. July support is 6.88. November soybeans support as we entered today Friday in 13.50 then 13.25. Resistance is 14.10. July support lies at 13.35. July wheat support is 6.75 with resistance 6.90 then 7.25.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

Other Topics

Commodities