Markets

Goldman Sachs Says No Recession is Coming

Goldman Sachs Says No Recession is Coming

(New York)

The whole market (and the media) seems to be worried about a looming recession. Driving that fear are many factors: a surging economy, very high market valuations, and a nearly inverted yield curve. Several big banks and research houses have put out warnings of a looming recession and bear market. However, one of the most prominent, Goldman Sachs, has just gone on the record doing the opposite. The bank says there is only a 36% chance of recession in the next three years, a figure below the historical average. "There has been increasing investor interest in the chance of a recession in the U.S. over the next few years … Our model paints a more benign picture", said GS economist Jan Hatzius. The bank did note that if a US recession does occur, it will likely drag many developed economies down with it.

FINSUM : Recessions are famously hard to call, so we won't go one way or the other. That said, there are some signs that a recession is looming. We certainly think the odds are higher than 36% for the next three years.

  • US
  • recession
  • bear market
  • Goldman Sachs
  • economy
  • yields curve

    The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


    The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

    Other Topics

    Stocks