Prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT
The 3 wave rally from the September low is viewed as a correction of the decline from the record high and should be completely retraced. A look at the long term picture reveals that gold remains above long term trendlines but some of those lines are well below the current level. Even a test of the trendline that has defined price since the summer 2010 lows would result in a test of the mid 1500s (52 week average in the vicinity). A drop similar in amplitude to the one that occurred in September would reach the low 1400s. If gold has entered a larger bear market, then price needs to stay below the September-November trendline. Confidence in the downside is increased as gold has broken trendline support.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.