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Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Weak US data keep scary pressure on stocks. Oil closes below $30

Forex news for US trading on January 15, 2016

It was an ugly day for the global stock indices as the selloff for the year continues. Most of the US and European stock markets showed declines of 2% or more. Thank goodness for an afternoon rally in the US. The S&P rallied 23 S&P points off the lows, while the Nasdaq was higher by 69 points. The S&P is still down over 8% and the Nasdaq is down 10.36% after the first 3 weeks of the new calendar year. Eyes continue to be on China. And of course, there was crude oil which closed below $30 per barrel today. The currency markets will continue to be impacted by the global flows with eyes on China, stocks and oil the main drivers.

Economic data today was a disappointment. Headline retail sales came in as expected at -0.1% but drilling down into the other measures showed weakness (Control group down -0.3% vs +0.3% est). PPI remains low . Empire Manufacturing and Industrial production were weaker than expected. Michigan consumer sentiment bucked the trend as it was higher than estimates (93.3 vs 93.0).

Fed's Williams and Dudley both spoke - and acted - as if a 8-10% stock market tumble and oil collapse was as expected. Perhaps the plan is to see if the stock market can get on it's own two feet without help from the Fed.

How did the dollar hold up? For the day, it was mixed - rising against the AUD, CAD and GBP, little changed against the NZD, and lower against the CHF, EUR and JPY.

For the week the CAD, GBP and AUD were the weakest. The CAD mainly because of the tumble in oil prices . The USDCAD traded to yet another new high going back to 2003. The GBPUSD was weak technically and also has the Brexit/slowdown fears. It traded at the lowest level going back to May 2010. The AUD was weak on the back of China slowdown concerns. It traded at the lowest level since March 2009.

The EURUSD ended the week little changed (0.8% change) and the USDJPY was down a smallish 0.27% after opening lower, ralling midweek, before falling with the stock market today.

In the cross world, the EURGBP rallied strongly and traded at the highest level going back to nearly 1 year ago (January 21, 2015 to be exact).

Wishing everyone a relaxing weekend after a more tumultuous week. Remember Monday is Martin Luther King day in the US.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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