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Forex - NZD/USD weekly outlook: June 16 - 20

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Investing.com -

Investing.com - The New Zealand dollar fell from a five-week high against its U.S. counterpart on Friday, as escalating tensions in Iraq boosted demand for safe-haven assets.

NZD/USD hit 0.8699 on Thursday, the pair's highest since May 7, before subsequently consolidating at 0.8665 by close of trade on Friday, down 0.26% for the day but 1.9% higher for the week.

The pair is likely to find support at 0.8604, the low from June 12 and resistance at 0.8699, the high from June 12.

Concerns over the ongoing Sunni insurgency in Iraq hit market sentiment on Friday, after insurgents took control of the Iraqi cities Mosul and Tikrit, fuelling fears over the impact of reduced oil supply on global growth.

The escalating violence in Iraq overshadowed a report showing that U.S. consumer sentiment unexpectedly deteriorated in June.

The preliminary reading of the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index for June came in at 81.2, down from 81.9 in May, missing expectations for an uptick to 83.0.

The kiwi rallied more than 1% against the greenback on Thursday after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised its benchmark interest rate to a five-year high of 3.25% from 3.00% and suggested that borrowing costs could rise again this year.

Commenting on the decision, RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler said "it is important that inflation expectations remain contained and that interest rates return to a more neutral level."

Data from the Commodities Futures Trading Commission released Friday showed that speculators modestly decreased their bullish bets on the New Zealand dollar in the week ending June 10.

Net longs totaled 16,855 contracts as of last week, compared to net longs of 17,531 contracts in the previous week.

In the week ahead, investors will be focusing on the outcome of Wednesday's Federal Reserve policy meeting, while first quarter growth data out of New Zealand will also be closely watched.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of these and other significant events likely to affect the markets. The guide skips Friday, as there are no relevant events on this day.

Monday, June 16

The U.S. is to produce data on industrial production and manufacturing activity in the Empire State.

Tuesday, June 17

The U.S. is to produce data on housing starts, building permits and consumer prices.

Wednesday, June 18

New Zealand is to release data on the current account.

Later Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is to announce its federal funds rate and publish its rate statement. The announcement is to be followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

Thursday, June 19

New Zealand is to publish data on gross domestic product, the broadest indicator of economic activity and the leading measure of the economy's health.

The U.S. is to publish the weekly report on initial jobless claims as well as a report on manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia region.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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