Falling Earnings Estimates Signal Weakness Ahead for Guess? (GES)
Similar to wise buying decisions, exiting certain underperformers at the right time helps maximize portfolio returns. Selling off losers can be difficult, but if both the share price and estimates are falling, it could be time to get rid of the security before more losses hit your portfolio.
One such stock that you may want to consider dropping is Guess?, Inc. GES, which has witnessed a significant price decline in the past four weeks, and it has seen negative earnings estimate revisions for the current quarter and the current year. A Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) further confirms weakness in GES.
A key reason for this move has been the negative trend in earnings estimate revisions. For the full year, we have seen three estimates moving down in the past 30 days, compared with no upward revisions. This trend has caused the consensus estimate to trend lower, going from $1.43 a share a month ago to its current level of $1.20.
Also, for the current quarter, Guess? has seen one downward estimate revision versus no revisions in the opposite direction, dragging the consensus estimate down to a loss of 26 cents a share from a loss of 15 cents over the past 30 days.
The stock also has seen some pretty dismal trading lately, as the share price has dropped 12.5% in the past month.
Guess?, Inc. Price and Consensus
So it may not be a good decision to keep this stock in your portfolio anymore, at least if you don’t have a long time horizon to wait.
If you are still interested in the Textile – Apparel industry, you may instead consider a better-ranked stock - Columbia Sportswear Company COLM. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and may be a better selection at this time. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.