Factors Likely to Influence Under Armour's (UAA) Q3 Earnings

Under Armour, Inc.UAA is scheduled to report third-quarter 2018 financial numbers on Oct 30, before the opening bell. In the last reported quarter, the company's bottom line came in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Meanwhile, the top line came ahead of the consensus mark for the third straight quarter and also increased year over year.

How are Estimates Faring?

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter earnings is pegged at 12 cents, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 45.5%. We note that the consensus estimate has been stable over the last 30 days. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues stands at $1,408 million, almost flat year over year.

Under Armour, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Under Armour, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise | Under Armour, Inc. Quote

Let's delve deeper and find out the factors impacting the results.

Factors That Hold Key to Under Armour's Performance

Under Armour's focus on brand development, and expansion of DTC and technology-based fitness businesses bode well. Also, the company has been trying to boost its DTC business through store expansion initiatives and enhancement of its e-commerce platform over the past few years.

Apart from rolling out e-commerce platforms, the company continues to look for opportunities to expand global footprint. The company, which generates major portion of its revenues from the North America region, intends to expand business operations globally. Over the years, Under Armour has opened its factory and brand stores in Canada and China as well as given franchise licenses in many countries. Also, Under Armour is expanding its DTC business in the U.K., Germany and the Netherlands.

However, the company is facing sales decline in North America over the past few quarters. In fact, the company has been reporting sluggish sales from the region since fourth-quarter 2016. Management still expects the metric to decline in low to mid-single-digit in 2018. Per analysts, store closures, decreased productivity and demand along with change in fashion preference might have led to this dismal performance.

Further, SG&A expenses are expected to increase at a mid-teen rate in the third quarter and a mid-single-digit rate in 2018.

Nevertheless, the company has undertaken the restructuring plan, through which it intends to simplify its organizational structure, attain cost effectiveness and operational efficiencies, and allocate resources in best alternatives. This prompted management to raise the lower end of its 2018 earnings view. Management projects adjusted earnings to be 16-19 cents per share, up from 14-19 cents expected earlier.

What the Zacks Model Unveils

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Under Armour is likely to beat earnings estimates this quarter. This is because a stock needs to have both - a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) - for this to happen. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they're reported with our Earnings ESP Filter .

Under Armour has a Zacks Rank #2 but an Earnings ESP of 0.00%, making the surprise prediction difficult.

Stocks With Favorable Combination

Here are some companies you may want to consider as our model shows that these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat:

Lululemon Athletica Inc. LULU has an Earnings ESP of +5.89% and a Zacks Rank #1. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here .

PVH Corp. PVH has an Earnings ESP of +0.46% and a Zacks Rank #2.

Michael Kors Holdings Limited KORS has an Earnings ESP of +0.64% and a Zacks Rank #3.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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