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Eurozone PMIs Have Never Been Worse. That Is Why Bank of America Is Bullish on Eurozone Stocks.
first_publish_headline|Eurozone PMIs Have Never Been Worse. That Is Why Bank of America Is Bullish on Eurozone Stocks.
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https://www.barrons.com/articles/eurozone-pmis-have-never-been-worse-that-is-why-bank-of-america-is-bullish-on-eurozone-stocks-51585915005
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Associated Press
Eurozone PMIs Have Never Been Worse. That Is Why Bank of America Is Bullish on Eurozone Stocks.
Eurozone PMIs Have Never Been Worse. That Is Why Bank of America Is Bullish on Eurozone Stocks.
Eurozone PMIs Have Never Been Worse. That is Why Bank of America Is Bullish On Eurozone Stocks.
For PMIs not to rebound, the Bank of America analysts say, there would have to be new waves of lockdowns.
Eurozone PMIs Have Never Been Worse. That Is Why Bank of America Is Bullish on Eurozone Stocks.
For PMIs not to rebound, the Bank of America analysts say, there would have to be new waves of lockdowns.
https://asset.barrons.com/dynamic-insets/charts/cdc_92a69ed8e12fb93dd3a27d80.json
Eurozone PMIs Have Never Been Worse. That Is Why Bank of America Is Bullish on Eurozone Stocks.
By Steve Goldstein
Associated Press
Medical staff of a mobile unit take samples from people in cars to test for Covid-19 at a drive-through position at the Santa Maria della Pietà hospital complex, in Rome, Italy, on Apr. 3, 2020.
On Friday, IHS Markit released data showing purchasing managers indexes across Europe plunged to new lows.
The final eurozone composite purchasing managers index for March skidded to a reading of 29.7 from 51.6 in February — on a scale where any number below 50 indicates contracting conditions. That is worse than the readings even during the global financial crisis.
https://asset.barrons.com/dynamic-insets/charts/cdc_92a69ed8e12fb93dd3a27d80.json
Equity strategists at Bank of America say it is unlikely the numbers will ever get worse, just based on how the survey is conducted. The survey measures manager assessments of whether each month’s conditions are better or worse relative to the previous period.
For PMIs not to rebound, the Bank of America analysts say, there would have to be new waves of lockdowns.
They say that is unlikely and point out that, in hardest-hit Italy, the growth rate of new daily cases has slowed from 40% to 4%. Even in the U.S., where cases are growing rapidly, the growth rate has slowed down to a pace that suggests it is two weeks behind Italy.
The Bank of America team say even a slow recovery — where PMIs don’t exceed 50 until August — would be consistent with “meaningfully positive PMI momentum.”
That implies 25% upside for the Stoxx Europe 600, to 400, by August, they say.
On Friday afternoon, the Stoxx 600 was trading 0.7% weaker to 309.77.
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.