Markets

Is This the End of the Market Rally?

Commodities and their related exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and stocks in general got clobbered yesterday. Does that signal the end of the market rally?

SLV ChartTrade of the Day Chart Key

Yesterday's sell-off in commodities was to be expected as copper, crude oil and other commodity futures came under pressure because they had run too far too fast. The obvious leader of the group of overvalued commodities was silver. At one point, the iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV ) had run to almost 80% above its 200-day moving average. In just 10 sessions, it has fallen to a more reasonable premium of 22.7% above its 200-day moving average.

GLD ChartTrade of the Day Chart Key

During the same period, gold, the metal upon which silver's value has traditionally been measured, fell just 4.5%, as can be seen in the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD ) chart. The market has an uncanny ability to purge itself of overvalued situations.

S&P 500 ChartTrade of the Day Chart Key

The major indices, as illustrated by the S&P 500 chart, fell as well. But the support structure illustrated in the chart above clearly shows a depth greater than a single commodity like silver, and that should stabilize the broad market through the month of May.

The short-term, intermediate-term and long-term trends have not changed. Pullbacks should be viewed as opportunities to buy those stocks that ran away from us in April.

For one such stock, see the Trade of the Day .

Today's Trading Landscape

To see a list of the companies reporting earnings today, click here .

For a list of this week's economic reports due out, click here .

If you have questions or comments for Sam Collins, please e-mail him at samailc@cox.net .

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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