EMERGING MARKETS-Philippines in tailspin as remittances plunge, lockdown extended

Credit: REUTERS/ELOISA LOPEZ

Philippine stocks tumbled on Monday as data showing a plunge in May remittances accelerated a sell-off initially fuelled by concerns over a lockdown extension in and around the capital.

By Rashmi Ashok

Aug 3 (Reuters) - Philippine stocks tumbled on Monday as data showing a plunge in May remittances accelerated a sell-off initially fuelled by concerns over a lockdown extension in and around the capital.

The benchmark index .PSI fell as much as 4% to a two-month low, as the government reimposed coronavirus lockdown measures in Manila in response to fresh outbreaks and warnings from doctors and nurses of stressed healthcare facilities.

At the same time, remittances, which accounted for 9.3% of the country's gross domestic product in 2019, plunged 19.3% in May, stoking worries that the current account deficit may balloon and cause the peso to depreciate.

Remittances are a key source of foreign income for the country, and its current account is heavily dependent on them since it routinely posts trade deficit.

However, remittances across the world have fallen sharply due to coronavirus-led salary cuts and job losses.

"Remittances are not expected to recover anytime soon with the global economy likely in recession, adding more heat to an already precarious situation for Philippine domestic growth prospects," said Nicholas Mapa, ING's senior economist for the Philippines.

ING had said in May it expected remittances to contract by 6.9% in 2020 due to the pandemic, sending the current account deeper into deficit and forcing the peso PHP= to weaken to 52.19 by the end of the year.

The peso, however, held steady in the face of the news, having risen along with other regional currencies in July on the back of broad global weakness of the U.S. dollar.

The Philippines is set to report its third-quarter economic growth data on Thursday and most analysts expect its GDP to slide sharply against last year.

Indonesia's rupiah IDR= weakened after data showed its inflation rate eased in July to move further from the central bank's target range, prompting bets of more interest rate cuts.

Helped by hopes of more rate cuts, stocks .JKSE trimmed initial losses to trade 2.8% lower. The index had fallen 4.3% earlier as restrictions were extended in Jakarta in the midst of an undeterred spike in coronavirus cases.

Stalling economic momentum will likely pressure the central bank to trim rates further, ING said in a note, adding that given the rupiah's weakness due to recent cuts, additional easing was expected only if the currency returned to its appreciation trend.

Singapore stocks .STI slid nearly 2%, dragged by conglomerates Jardine Matheson JARD.SI and Jardine Cycle & Carriage JCYC.SI after they posted sharp falls in half-year profits.

HIGHLIGHTS:

** In the Philippines, top index losers were Robinsons Land Corp RLC.PS down 7.15% and Ayala Land Inc ALI.PS 6.01% lower

** Top losers on FTSE Bursa Malaysia Kl Index .KLSE included PPB Group Bhd PEPT.KL down 5.08% and Hong Leong Financial Group Bhd HLCB.KL trading 4.32% weaker

** Indonesian 10-year benchmark yields climbed 0.3 basis points to 6.828%​​ while 3-year benchmark yields rose 24.9 basis points to 5.638%​​

Asia stock indexes and currencies at 0706 GMT

COUNTRY

FX RIC

FX DAILY %

FX YTD %

INDEX

STOCKS DAILY %

STOCKS YTD %

Japan

JPY=

-0.05

+2.53

.N225

2.24

-6.18

China

CNY=CFXS

-0.05

-0.21

.SSEC

1.66

10.33

India

INR=IN

-0.26

-4.83

.NSEI

-1.02

-9.93

Indonesia

IDR=

-0.27

-4.74

.JKSE

-2.80

-20.55

Malaysia

MYR=

+0.17

-3.33

.KLSE

-1.21

-0.28

Philippines

PHP=

+0.16

+3.24

.PSI

-3.58

-26.86

S.Korea

KRW=KFTC

-0.18

-3.10

.KS11

0.07

2.43

Singapore

SGD=

-0.14

-2.31

.STI

-1.57

-22.73

Taiwan

TWD=TP

+0.34

+2.40

.TWII

-1.20

4.30

Thailand

THB=TH

-0.16

-4.23

.SETI

-0.71

-16.50

(Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

((Rashmi.Ashok@thomsonreuters.com; +918061822604;))

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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