EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX weakens as dollar unfazed by jobs data; stocks edge up

Credit: REUTERS/JOSE LUIS GONZALEZ

By Ambar Warrick and Susan Mathew

April 2 (Reuters) - Latin American stocks made small gains on Thursday in a volatile session, while most regional currencies weakened as a swathe of weak economic readings increased safe-haven demand for the dollar.

After dismal manufacturing data from around the globe had dented sentiment on Wednesday, a spike in weekly U.S. unemployment claims further outlined the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak.

With global infections now crossing the 1 million mark, a return to business as usual in the near term seems unlikely, with economic activity likely to contract further.

Latam stocks .MILA00000CUS rose about 1%, tracking some gains on Wall Street, while currencies .MILA00000CUS fell 0.4%, with oil-sensitive players such as Mexico's peso MXN= and Colombia's peso COL= failing to capitalize on a jump in oil prices. O/R

In fact, the weak reading furthered the rush for the dollar, which has been a sole beacon of stability amid a valuation rout that has battered everything between equities and treasury yields. USD/

Even though jobless claims topped estimates by a wide margin, some analysts say the market may have priced them in, while others say it is beyond comprehension.

Analysts were also of the opinion that the U.S. numbers only heralded a further downturn in economic activity.

"The data tsunami is coming, and this is only the beginning. We look for the USD to gain traction in the weeks ahead," TD Securities wrote in a note.

Mexico's peso fell 0.5% after the finance ministry predicted a 3.9% contraction for the economy this year, while Bank of America forecast an 8% shrinkage due to fallout from the virus outbreak.

Mexican stocks .MXX fell slightly.

Brazil's real BRL= retreated slightly, while stocks .BVSP jumped 1.9% on gains in state-owned oil and gas behemoth Petrobras PETR4.SA. The stock surged in tandem with oil prices, which spiked on hopes of an end to the Saudi-Russian price war.

Brazil continued attempts to shield its economy from impacts of the crisis with the Monetary Council authorizing the central bank to lend directly to banks using credit portfolios as collateral, while the government unveiled a $10 billion scheme to protect jobs.

Colombian shares .COLCAP rose 3% after four sessions of losses, while the peso retreated.

Fitch on Wednesday downgraded Colombia's credit rating, leaving it just a notch above junk, citing the likely economic weakening spurred by the pandemic.

"Colombia still has one of the best outlooks for LATAM, but the risk at getting downgraded to junk is growing and that could scare away a lot of foreign investors," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, New York.

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 2056 GMT:

Stock indexes

Latest

Daily % change

MSCI Emerging Markets .MSCIEF

837.72

1.26

MSCI LatAm .MILA00000PUS

1529.10

1.42

Brazil Bovespa .BVSP

72310.67

1.89

Mexico IPC .MXX

33464.71

-0.67

Chile IPSA .SPIPSA

3559.25

4.03

Argentina MerVal .MERV

25803.27

1.891

Colombia COLCAP .COLCAP

1095.40

3.05

Currencies

Latest

Daily % change

Brazil real BRBY

5.2623

-0.05

Mexico peso MXN=D2

24.3800

-0.73

Chile peso CLP=CL

858.8

0.28

Colombia peso COP=

4024

1.52

Peru sol PEN=PE

3.4398

0.73

Argentina peso (interbank) ARS=RASL

64.7175

-0.29

(Reporting by Ambar Warrick and Susan Mathew in Bengaluru Editing by Alistair Bell and Matthew Lewis)

((susan.mathew@thomsonreuters.com; +91-80-6287-2704;))

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

More Related Articles

Sign up for Smart Investing to get the latest news, strategies and tips to help you invest smarter.