Copa Holdings SACPA is scheduled to release first-quarter 2016 results on May 5, after market close.
In the last quarter, the company posted a positive 10.61% earnings surprise.
Why a Likely Positive Surprise?
Our proven model shows that Copa Holdings is likely to beat earnings because it has the right combination of two key ingredients.
Zacks ESP : Earnings ESP for the company stand at +8.7% because the Most Accurate estimate is $1.50 while the Zacks Consensus Estimate is lower at $1.38. This serves as a meaningful and leading indicator of a likely positive earnings surprise.
Zacks Rank: Copa Holdings currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Note that stocks with a Zacks Rank #1, 2 or 3 have a significantly higher chance of beating earnings.Conversely, the Sell-rated stocks (Zacks Rank #4 and 5) should never be considered going into an earnings announcement.
The combination of Copa Holdings' Zacks Rank #3 and +8.7% ESP makes us reasonably confident of an earnings beat.
What's Driving the Better-than-Expected Earnings?
Despite the softness in the Brazilian economy and the weakening of real against the strong U.S. dollar, the carrier is set to gain from the increase in air travel demand. Moreover, Rio Olympic Games, scheduled to start this August, is likely to boost pre-bookings of tickets for the carrier.
Copa Holdings recently reported a healthy increase in traffic for March. Load factor (% of seats filled by passengers) declined in the month as capacity contracted while traffic imcreased. The carrier also reported an increase in February traffic. We expect the trend to continue when the carrier reports its first-quarter results
Other Stocks to Consider
Here are some other companies you may want to consider as our model shows these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter.
ACI Worldwide, Inc. ACIW , with an earnings ESP of 12.5% and a Zacks Rank #3.
Time Warner Inc. TWX , with an Earnings ESP of +1.55% and a Zacks Rank #3.
Cinemark Holdings, Inc. CNK , with an Earnings ESP of +2.13% and a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.