The energy industry has gone through huge upheaval over the past couple of years, with oil prices plunging from triple-digit levels to go below the $30 per barrel mark in early 2016 before recovering somewhat. Before then, ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) had seen tremendous growth, spinning off its refinery operations into Phillips 66 (NYSE: PSX) and producing solid dividend yields for its shareholders. Yet more recently, like many other major oil companies, ConocoPhillips has felt the pain of falling prices for crude oil and natural gas, and dividend investors took a big hit when the company decided to reduce its payout to reflect tough industry conditions. Now, ConocoPhillips shareholders are trying to figure out whether a return to dividend growth might come soon. Below, we'll take a closer look at ConocoPhillips' dividend history.
Even after the spinoff, ConocoPhillips kept giving investors dividend increases, but they came at a slower pace. In 2013, investors got a 5% raise, which was somewhat of a disappointment after several double-digit percentage increases in previous years. Further gains slowed to just a $0.01 per share increase in 2015, giving an early warning of the price problems that ConocoPhillips was facing in the energy markets.
Why ConocoPhillips slashed its dividend
Nevertheless, going into 2016, few expected a dividend cut, in large part because ConocoPhillips executives had expressed the company's commitment to sustaining its dividend despite ongoing business challenges. On several occasions, CEO Ryan Lance and his team had said that the dividend was a top priority and that it would only go up, not down.
Nevertheless, that didn't stop ConocoPhillips from doing an about-face and cutting its dividend by nearly two-thirds in February 2016, reducing quarterly payments from $0.74 per share to $0.25. In explaining the decision, Lance pointed to the plunge in oil prices that continued into the beginning of 2016, saying that "we believe it's prudent to plan for lower prices for a longer period of time." That decision came at the same time that ConocoPhillips announced it would leave production flat in 2016, ramping down from expectations for 1% to 3% growth as the company decided to slash its capital expenditure budget by $1.3 billion, or about a sixth of its previous guidance.
Will ConocoPhillips raise its dividend this year?
Looking forward, ConocoPhillips has expressed its intent to start growing its dividend again. At its investor day in November, Lance noted that "our intention is not to get back as fast as we can to the $3.7 billion worth of dividend payments that we had last year." But he did say that even with prices in the $50 per barrel range -- which is where they are now -- ConocoPhillips would be able to deal with dueling priorities that include reducing debt, maintaining production, and finding ways to grow its dividend. In addition, the company wants to make stock repurchases to return capital to shareholders as well.
At this point, it's too early to tell what ConocoPhillips' future dividend history will look like. When it releases its annual report in early February, ConocoPhillips investors should have a much better idea of what to expect on the dividend front.
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