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Can The Hartford (HIG) Be a Great Value Pick for Investors?

Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn't want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let's put The Hartford Financial Group, Inc.HIG stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock's current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, The Hartford has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 14.08, as you can see in the chart below:

This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares in at about 19.77. If we focus on the stock's long-term PE trend, the current level puts The Hartford's current PE ratio above its midpoint over the past five years, with the number having risen rapidly over the past few months.

Further, the stock's PE also compares favorably with the Zacks classified Insurance - Multiline industry's trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 16.04. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.

We should also point out that The Hartford has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year's earnings) of just 11.59, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for The Hartford stock in the near term too.

P/S Ratio

Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock's price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.

Right now, The Hartford has a P/S ratio of about 1.00. This is a far lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.03 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.

If anything, HIG is in the higher end of its range in the time period from a P/S metric, suggesting some level of undervalued trading-at least compared to historical norms.

Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, The Hartford currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of 'A', putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes The Hartford a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.

For example, the PEG ratio for The Hartford is just 1.22, a level that is a bit lower than the industry average of 1.37. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock's earnings growth rate. Clearly, HIG is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though The Hartford seems to be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of 'D' and a Momentum score of 'F'. This gives HIG a Zacks VGM score-or its overarching fundamental grade-of'D'. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >> )

Meanwhile, the company's recent earnings estimates have been mixed at best. The current quarter has seen no estimate going higher in the past sixty days compared to three lower, while the full year estimate has seen five upward and one downward in the same time period.

This has had just a small impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate has gone done by 2.8% in the past two months, while the full year estimate has inched up by 1.7%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (The) Price and Consensus

Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (The) Price and Consensus | Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (The) Quote

Despite this somewhat mixed trend, the stock has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) on the back of its strong value metrics and this is why we are expecting above-average performance from the company in the near-term.

Bottom Line

The Hartford is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. Moreover, a strong industry rank (Top 27% out of more than 250 industries) enhances the stock's growth potential. In fact, over the past two years, the Zacks Insurance - Multiline industry has clearly outperformed the broader S&P 500 market, as you can see below:

So, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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