Credit: REUTERS/Thomas WhiteSept 24 (Reuters) - In its daily note to clients, J.P Morgan said it was out of their euro longs before Wednesday's euro zone PMI data, which did little to alleviate concern over growth but weren't bad enough to induce another aggressive sell-off.
Lack of good news isn't favourable for the outlook of high beta, JPM said, noting that U.S. President Donald Trump didn't help sentiment with his comment that the outcome of the U.S. election will end up in the Supreme Court. The dollar benefits from current concerns, the bank said, and works against the euro and its long IMM positioning.
Hedge funds have reduced positions substantially, JPM noted, but real money remain heavily invested, according to their internal flow, although they have turned small sellers recently, and thus, an interesting dynamic to monitor.
The bank say that while EUR/USD remains under 1.1700/20, the danger remains to the downside.
FX option markets are more balanced now, but starting to add downside risk premium
For more click on FXBUZ
1-3-12-month EUR/USD risk reversalshttps://tmsnrt.rs/32WRGsq
EUR=EBShttps://tmsnrt.rs/2RV8A4A
(Richard Pace is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
((Richard.Pace@thomsonreuters.com))
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
