Buckeye Partners Admits What the Market Has Been Telling It for Months

Oil storage terminal.

For the past 18 months or so, Wall Street has been telling Buckeye Partners (NYSE: BPL) that it is concerned with the financial status of the business and its incredibly lucrative payout to investors. In that short period of time, the master limited partnership's stock has declined 45%, and its distribution yield, which has historically been in the 6%-7% range, jumped all the way to 15%.

For several quarters, Buckeye's management was saying that everything was fine and that it would be able to maintain its payout for the foreseeable future. When the company released its second-quarter results, though, management's tone was notably different. Let's take a look at Buckeye's most recent results and why management appears to be listening to what Wall Street has been saying about its payout for some time.

By the numbers

Data source: Buckeye Partners earnings release. EPS = earnings per share.

The good news: Buckeye's revenue increased significantly compared to this time last year, and its direct and indirect operating expenses (sales, general, and administrative) were down compared to this time last year. The trouble for Buckeye, though, is that the company's cost of product sales is outpacing sales growth as its marine terminal capacity utilization rate declines as global crude inventory levels get drawn down. At the end of the quarter, its capacity utilization rate was down to 85%.

These higher costs have put a damper on Buckeye's cash-generating abilities, and now the company's distribution coverage ratio (total cash available for distribution over distributions paid) is at a dangerously low level of 0.87. Management noted on its investor day presentation in June that it expected its distribution coverage ratio for the year to be between 0.90 and 0.95, but the continued weakness in the company's global terminals is making that goal harder to achieve.

The lack of cash coming in the door couldn't come at a worse time for Buckeye: The company is trying to put the finishing touches on $600 million in capital projects this year and has recently announced a slew of new major capital projects, such as a crude oil and condensate export terminal in Corpus Christi, Texas.

What management had to say

For some time, Buckeye's management has touted the company's long-standing distribution, its investment-grade credit rating, and its ability to work through short-term cash shortages. This past quarter, though, CEO Clark Smith's prepared remarks suggested a reversal in strategy as the company looks into ways of funding its growth plans:

On top of the news that Buckeye Partners is looking to sell assets, there was also this:

To self-fund the equity portion of its capital spending, the company would need to generate cash from operations in excess of its distribution to shareholders. To free up cash for this strategy, though, a distribution cut would likely be needed. Clark said that management will announce the results of this strategic review during the third-quarter earnings release in November.

You can read a full transcript of Buckeye's conference call here .

BPL data by YCharts .

Taking drastic steps

For the past year and a half, the market has been pricing in the possibility that Buckeye was going to have to make some changes to its distribution policy if it wanted to maintain its capital spending and its investment-grade credit rating. Paying for its growth without internally generating cash just didn't seem doable. Of course, the mention of a strategic review gave shares a considerable bump since the earnings report came out, as it shows management is taking its cash issues seriously.

Chances are, this strategic review will result in some sort of distribution cut. The size of that cut is yet unclear, though. Ideally, management would target a payout that results in a distribution coverage of around 1.2 as that would provide a good amount of excess cash to fund projects. Until we see the results of this review, though, it's probably best to stay away from Buckeye's stock.

10 stocks we like better than Buckeye Partners

When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor , has quadrupled the market.*

David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Buckeye Partners wasn't one of them! That's right -- they think these 10 stocks are even better buys.

Click here to learn about these picks!

*Stock Advisor returns as of August 6, 2018

Tyler Crowe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy .

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

More Related Articles

Sign up for Smart Investing to get the latest news, strategies and tips to help you invest smarter.