Personal Finance

The Big Reason Why Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Beat Rivals and Popped 12.5% in October

A close-up view of gold and silver bars.

What happened

As a precious metals company, you'd expect Wheaton Precious Metals (NYSE: WPM) shares to move in tandem with prices of gold and silver. That, however, wasn't the case last month when Wheaton jumped nearly 12.5% despite gold and silver prices declining a percentage or two points each. In fact, Wheaton's rivals Franco-Nevada Corp (NYSE: FNV) and Royal Gold (NASDAQ: RGLD) also ended the month on a flat note.

What pushed Wheaton stock higher in October? A hugely positive outlook from an analyst could be the answer.

So what

During the quarter ended June, investment firm 3G Capital upped its holding in Wheaton by 50% to 1.5 million shares.

While presenting at the C4K Investors Conference in Toronto mid-October, 3G Capital's Dan Dreyfus hinted the stock could climb to mid-40s backed by three catalysts -- resolution of the long-pending dispute with the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA), unlocking of value from developing mines, and the normalizing of the gold-to-silver ratio as silver prices climb.

A close-up view of gold and silver bars.

Image source: Getty Images.

Some of the growth catalysts that 3G Capital is perhaps looking at are Wheaton's streaming agreements attached to key mines like Barrick Gold 's Pascua Lama, Hudbay's Rosemont copper mine, and Vale 's Salobo. As a streaming and royalty company, Wheaton doesn't own mines but buys precious metals from third-party miners under streaming agreements in return for funding them upfront.

Now what

3G Capital's idea of Wheaton shares doubling from current prices could be overly ambitious, but there's no denying that the company is on solid footing . Wheaton has historically earned higher margins than both Franco-Nevada and Royal Gold, and is trading cheaper than peers on a price-to-cash flow basis despite its recent rally.

Of course, a CRA fine could burn a deep hole in Wheaton's pocket, and that's something investors need to watch for. Look for any updates management might provide in its third-quarter earnings call scheduled this week.

Whether Wheaton shares can continue to head higher will depend a great deal on what the company reports for its third quarter tomorrow. For now, I'd insist you follow 3G Capital and remain invested in Wheaton Precious Metals.

10 stocks we like better than Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.

When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor , has tripled the market.*

David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. wasn't one of them! That's right -- they think these 10 stocks are even better buys.

Click here to learn about these picks!

*Stock Advisor returns as of November 6, 2017

Neha Chamaria has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy .

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

In This Story


Other Topics


The Motley Fool

Founded in 1993 in Alexandria, VA., by brothers David and Tom Gardner, The Motley Fool is a multimedia financial-services company dedicated to building the world's greatest investment community. Reaching millions of people each month through its website, books, newspaper column, radio show, television appearances, and subscription newsletter services, The Motley Fool champions shareholder values and advocates tirelessly for the individual investor. The company's name was taken from Shakespeare, whose wise fools both instructed and amused, and could speak the truth to the king -- without getting their heads lopped off.

Learn More