Bear of the Day: Autodesk (ADSK)

Sometimes, stocks get beat down for no reason at all. It can be very confusing and frustrating for investors when their favorite stock is going down for seemingly no reason. If you pay close attention to earnings estimates from analysts, often times, you can get a warning ahead of impending doom. I don’t want to sound like the harbinger of bad news here, I’m just setting up the reasoning for today’s Bear of the Day.

It’s Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) Autodesk (ADSK). Autodesk, Inc. operates as a design software and services company worldwide. The company offers AutoCAD, a professional design, drafting, detailing, and visualization software; AutoCAD Civil 3D, a surveying, design, analysis, and documentation solution for civil engineering, including land development, transportation, and environmental projects; AutoCAD LT, a professional drafting and detailing software; BIM 360, a construction management cloud-based software; computer-aided manufacturing (CAM) software for computer numeric control machining, inspection, and modelling for manufacturing; Fusion 360, a 3D CAD, CAM, and computer-aided engineering tool; and Industry Collections software products for professionals in architecture, engineering and construction, product design and manufacturing, and media and entertainment industries.

The reason for the unfavorable Zacks Rank is the series of earnings estimate revisions coming in to the downside recently. Over the last thirty days, eight analysts have cut their earnings estimates for the next quarter and next year. The bearish sentiment has dropped our Zacks Consensus Estimate from 99 cents to 94 cents for next quarter, while next year’s number has come down from $4.78 to $4.53.

I don’t want to lead on as if Autodesk is tumbling down to zero. In fact, even with these negative estimates, next quarter’s EPS growth is slated to come in at 104%, while next year’s growth number is set to hit 63.7%. Revenue is still set to grow at 21.89% next quarter and 21.7% next year. Growth has slowed some, which has caused Autodesk’s earnings multiple to shrink a bit. The stock is trading at a PE of 54.5x earnings, above the industry average of 41.7x and well above the broad market average of 17.8x.

Autodesk, Inc. Price and Consensus

Autodesk, Inc. Price and Consensus

Autodesk, Inc. price-consensus-chart | Autodesk, Inc. Quote

Investors looking for other stocks in the Computer Software industry, which ranks in the Top 21% of our Zacks Industry Rank, should check out Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) Simulations Plus (SLP) and Smith Micro Software (SMSI).

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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