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Are you onboard with Credit Suisse's trade of the week?

Big banks are increasingly playing the short game with "trade of the week" recco's

Credit Suisse have been going down the weekly trade route, as have Morgan Stanley and UBS previously. This week they tout selling GBPJPY;

"Rationale: There are several sources of data risk that could provide further negative shocks to investor appetite this week, and GBPJPY should be vulnerable amidst such an environment. Our economists forecast broadly weak data across the world, including a soft ISM manufacturing print and deterioration of Chinese/Eurozone PMIs.

While their forecast for UK manufacturing PMI at 52.9 lies slightly above consensus of 52.3, we see GBP being affected more by gloomy global risk-off sentiment over the course of the week. We still prefer to be short sterling .

Risk: The risk to the trade is if GBPUSD gains limited support purely due to being near historically low ranges, but we see this is a poor reason to be long GBP when in trade-weighted terms sterling is still from being heavily undervalued,"

There's no levels attached to the recommendation and right now the trade looks to be in the red as the pound stages a bounce. That might be end of month fix related, given the time.

EURGBP has dipped to 0.7802 while cable pops to 1.3940

Efx has the note and you can see more with a free trial

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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