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Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Navistar International (NAV) Stock?

Investors in shares of Navistar International CorporationNAV need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves in the options market lately. That is because the Put which expires on Apr 21, 2017 for the $6.00 strike price had some of the highest implied volatility of all equity options today.

What is Implied Volatility?

Implied volatility shows how much movement the market is expecting in the future. Options with high levels of implied volatility could mean that investors in the underlying stocks are expecting a big move in one direction or the other. It could also mean there is an event coming up soon that could cause a big rally or a huge sell off. However, implied volatility is only one piece of the puzzle when putting together an options trading strategy.

What do the Analysts Think?

Clearly, options traders are pricing in a big move for Navistar International shares, but what is the fundamental picture for the company? Currently, Navistar International is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) in the Automotive - Original Equipment industry that ranks in the top 31% of our Zacks Industry Rank. Over the last 60 days, 1 analyst has increased their earnings estimates for the current quarter, while 5 have dropped the estimate. The net effect has taken our Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current quarter from a loss of 25 cents per share to a loss of 44 cents per share in that period.

Given the way analysts feel about Navistar International right now, this huge implied volatility could mean there's a trade developing. Often times, options traders look for options with high levels of implied volatility to sell premium. This is a strategy many seasoned traders use because it captures decay. At expiration, the hope for these traders is that the underlying stock does not move as much as originally expected.

Looking to Trade Options?

Each week, our very own Dave Bartosiak gives his top options trades. Check out his recent live analysis and options trade for the AMZN earnings report completely free. See it here: Bartosiak: Trading Amazon's AMZN Earnings with Options or check out the embed video below for more details:

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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