A. O. Smith (AOS) to Post Q3 Earnings: Beat in the Cards?

A. O. Smith Corporation AOS is scheduled to report third-quarter 2020 results on Oct 29, before market open.

The company delivered a negative earnings surprise of 3.03%, on average, in the trailing four quarters, missing estimates thrice and surpassing once. In the last reported quarter, A. O. Smith posted earnings of 45 cents, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 44 cents by 2.27%.

In the past three months, the company’s shares have gained 2% compared with the industry’s growth of 6.9%.

Factors to Consider

A. O. Smith is expected to have benefited from its strong position in the replacement market. Robust demand for water treatment products in the United States might have augmented the company’s top-line performance in the third quarter. Also, improvement in the effectiveness of the company’s direct-to-consumer channel is likely to have supported its top line.

Moreover, the company’s Water-Right business has enhanced its growth opportunities in the water treatment industry, especially in the wholesale and independent dealer array. Also, the business contributed to the second-quarter top line, a trend that likely continued in the third quarter as well. In addition, its continuous focus on investments in product developments, automation and production efficiency is anticipated to get reflected positively in the to-be-reported quarter results.

In addition, some of A. O. Smith’s actions, including cost-reduction and restructuring activities, are expected to have helped it maintain a healthy margin performance.

However, weak demand for commercial water heater and boilers in North America are expected to have hurt third-quarter revenues. Also, persistent soft end-market demand in China and weak end markets in India are expected to have had a bearing on A. O. Smith’s top-line performance.

Further, given A. O. Smith’s diverse geographic presence, its operations have been subject to issues like unfavorable movement in foreign currencies, interest rate fluctuations and hyperinflation in some foreign countries. This might have hurt its business, particularly in China, in the to-be-reported quarter as well.

Amid this backdrop, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues from A. O. Smith's North America segment is currently pegged at $498 million, indicating a 3.5% increase from the previous quarter, but a 3.3% decline from the year-ago reported figure. The consensus estimate for revenues from Rest of the World stands at $217 million, suggesting a 14.2% improvement from the previous quarter’s reported figure, but a 1.4% fall from the year-ago quarter.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model suggests an earnings beat for A. O. Smith this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Earnings ESP: The company has an Earnings ESP of +5.71% as the Most Accurate Estimate is pegged at 56 cents, higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 53 cents.

A. O. Smith Corporation Price and EPS Surprise

A. O. Smith Corporation Price and EPS Surprise

A. O. Smith Corporation price-eps-surprise | A. O. Smith Corporation Quote

Zacks Rank: A. O. Smith carries a Zacks Rank #3.

Other Key Picks

Here are some other companies you may want to consider, as our model shows that these too have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this season:

Plug Power, Inc. PLUG has an Earnings ESP of +5.17% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Regal Beloit Corporation RBC has an Earnings ESP of +3.24% and a Zacks Rank of 2, at present.

Eaton Corporation, plc ETN has an Earnings ESP of +4.98% and a Zacks Rank of 3.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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