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3 Stocks Set to Profit From the Rise of China

Woman holding shopping bags inside a mall.

China's middle class is growing incredibly fast. According to most expectations, China's middle class is on track to number more than 600 million people by the end of the decade. That's a huge number of new consumers who will be spending money and driving economic productivity.

While China has burned many investors, there's still wonderful opportunity in the Middle Kingdom, and savvy investors who make the right investments could do incredibly well on the rise of China in coming decades. Below, three of our contributors offer up companies they think are best-positioned to profit from increasing wealth in China: two are just getting started there, athletic apparel and footwear upstart Under Armour Inc (NYSE: UA) (NYSE: UAA) and genetic sequencing expert Illumina, Inc. (NASDAQ: ILMN) , and one company has been feeding Chinese diners for years, though it's a new ticker on the public markets, Yum China Holdings Inc (NYSE: YUMC) .

Woman holding shopping bags inside a mall.

China's middle class will be double the U.S. total population in less than a decade. Image source: Getty Images.

China could become Under Armour's biggest market

Jason Hall ( Under Armour): Investors in fast-growing athletic apparel and footwear company Under Armour have had a tough year-plus, with shares down more than half at this writing over that period. In some ways, this isn't unexpected. While still growing at a fast pace, the company's revenue isn't increasing as quickly as it has in the past, and management has had to back down on some of its projections for income growth.

There has also been more competitive pressure and weaker-than-anticipated demand in North America, the company's most important market. Under Armour's North American sales only increased 6% last quarter after years of steady double-digit growth.

The company has also seen its gross margin get squeezed. Gross margin was 46.5% in 2016, down from 48.1% in 2015. In the fourth quarter, gross margin was 44.8%, well down from 48% in the year-before period. Factor in more spending to expand the business, and profits and operating income both fell last quarter.

With all that happening, it's easy to lose track of the (much) bigger picture. As important as North America is and will likely be for decades to come, it's probably not going to be Under Armour's biggest market in 20 years, while China very well could be the one to displace it.

Various Yum China foods.

Yum China is already one of the biggest restaurant companies in the country. Image source: Yum China.

They accounted for more than half of Yum's total revenues and almost 40% of its operating profits before the separation, and until the foodborne illness scandals, had operated for decades largely without issue. (It was the first fast-food chain to open in China in 1987.) It will likely continue to operate just as well for decades to come.

Of all the fast-food companies out there, only two have been able to successfully make a go of it in China: Yum and McDonald's . Wendy's has no presence there, and Burger King parent Restaurant Brands International has just several hundred stores, though it does have plans to expand.

That speaks to not only how well Yum has been run, but how difficult it is to crack the Chinese market, giving Yum China something of a competitive moat. There are some challenges before it, such as a value-added tax implemented last year that fluctuates month to month, as well as China's aggression in the South China Sea, which has led to protests and boycotts -- not to mention a more recent war of words with President Trump that hurt same-store sales by 400 to 500 basis points last quarter. Still, Yum China should do well from a rising China.

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Jason Hall owns shares of Under Armour (A Shares) and Under Armour (C Shares). Keith Speights has no position in any stocks mentioned. Rich Duprey has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Illumina, Under Armour (A Shares), and Under Armour (C Shares). The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy .

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.


The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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