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Will Fly Leasing (FLY) Gain on Rising Earnings Estimates?


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Investors might want to bet on Fly Leasing (FLY), as earnings estimates for this company have been showing solid improvement lately. The stock has already gained solid short-term price momentum, and this trend might continue with its still improving earnings outlook.

The rising trend in estimate revisions, which is a result of growing analyst optimism on the earnings prospects of this commercial aircraft leasing company, should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. This insight is at the core of our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank.

The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance , with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.

For Fly Leasing, there has been strong agreement among the covering analysts in raising earnings estimates, which has helped push consensus estimates considerably higher for the next quarter and full year.

The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate:

12 Month EPS

Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions

The earnings estimate of $1.45 per share for the current quarter represents a change of +61.11% from the number reported a year ago.

Over the last 30 days, one estimate has moved higher for Fly Leasing compared to no negative revisions. As a result, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased 51.67%.

Current-Year Estimate Revisions

The company is expected to earn $3.92 per share for the full year, which represents a change of +36.11% from the prior-year number.

The revisions trend for the current year also appears quite promising for Fly Leasing, with three estimates moving higher over the past month compared to no negative revisions. The consensus estimate has also received a boost over this time frame, increasing 22.92%.

Favorable Zacks Rank

Thanks to promising estimate revisions, Fly Leasing currently carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power o f earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here .

Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.

Bottom Line

While strong estimate revisions for Fly Leasing have attracted decent investments and pushed the stock 11.8% higher over the past four weeks, further upside may still be left in the stock. So, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away.


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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.





This article appears in: Investing , Earnings , Investing Ideas , Stocks
Referenced Symbols: FLY



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