Quantcast

Why Shares of Carnival Are Down on Friday


What happened

Shares of Carnival (NYSE: CCL) (NYSE: CUK) on Friday were sinking for the second straight day, trading down about 5% at midday after losing almost 10% on Thursday. The initial downward pressure was due to the cruise operator cutting its full-year outlook due to "macroeconomic headwinds." Friday's decline follows a negative reaction by analysts to that lowered outlook.

So what

On Thursday morning, Carnival actually produced quarterly results that topped analyst expectations, thanks to expanded capacity and improved onboard selling.

But the markets were more focused on Carnival's outlook for future quarters . The cruise ship company lowered expectations for full-year adjusted earnings per share, saying economic weakness, in particular in Europe and Asia, and the U.S. government's more restrictive policy toward traveling to Cuba would depress results.

A Carnival ship arriving in port with the Sydney skyline behind it.

A Carnival ship arriving in port. Image source: Carnival.

Analysts followed with downgrades and lowered price targets. William Blair's Sharon Zackfia downgraded Carnival to market perform from outperform, noting that Carnival's flattish yield expectations compare poorly to the mid-single-digit gains projected by rivals Royal Caribbean and Norwegian Cruise Line .

Barclays analyst Felicia Hendrix followed by cutting Carnival to equal weight from overweight and dropping her price target to $55 from $69, predicting Carnival's challenges in Europe would continue into next year. And SunTrust analyst C. Patrick Scholes, while keeping a buy rating on the shares, lowered his price target to $65 from $67.

Now what

Carnival had previously warned that sales momentum was fading but had hoped capacity growth would offset any weakness in pricing. That optimism now appears to be fading.

It wasn't all bad news from analysts, however. Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski said that while the results cause him to favor rivals like Norwegian in the near term, he still sees value in the shares over time. He cut his price target on Carnival to $57 from $65 but said Carnival's current multiple "is compelling enough" for him to keep a buy rating on the stock.

Carnival is plowing through rough waters right now. But there is at least hope for smoother sailing in the future.

10 stocks we like better than Carnival
When investing geniuses David and Tom Gardner have a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the newsletter they have run for over a decade, Motley Fool Stock Advisor , has quadrupled the market.*

David and Tom just revealed what they believe are the ten best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Carnival wasn't one of them! That's right -- they think these 10 stocks are even better buys.

See the 10 stocks

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 1, 2019

Lou Whiteman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Carnival. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy .

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.





This article appears in: Personal Finance , Stocks
Referenced Symbols: CCL , CUK



More from Motley Fool

Subscribe







Motley Fool
Contributor:

Motley Fool

Market News, Investing












Research Brokers before you trade

Want to trade FX?